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Shell plc

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Energy
Shell plc
SHEL · Oil & Gas Integrated
$78.81
▼ -1.57 (-1.95%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
D
Defensive
C
Enterprising
Profitability
C
Gross Profit Margin 19.3%
Operating Margin 14.9%
Net Income Margin 8.2%
Fin. Health
D
Years to Pay Off Debt 13.3 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$14.7B
Working Capital $25.7B
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 1.26x
Cash Flow
C
Free Cash Flow $2.3B
CapEx % of Net Income 66.0%
Owner Earnings $15.2B
About Shell plc
Shell plc operates as an energy and petrochemical company in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, the United States, and other parts of the Americas. It operates through the following segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals and Products, and Renewables and Energy Solutions. The company explores for and extracts natural gas to produce liquefied natural gas or convert it into gas-to-liquids (GTL) fuels and other products; explores for and extracts crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids; and operates marketing and transportation of oil, gas, and liquids, supported by the infrastructure required to deliver them to market or to process them within Shell's chemical manufacturing plants and refineries. It is also involved in marketing, which includes mobility, lubricants, and sectors focused on decarbonization; operates a retail network, including electric vehicle charging, convenience retail, and the wholesale commercial fuels business for transport and industry; sells products for road transport and machinery in manufacturing, mining, power generation, agriculture, and construction; and provides low-carbon energy solutions, such as biofuels, to a broad range of commercial customers, including those in the aviation, marine, and agriculture sectors. In addition, the company offers chemicals and products, including chemicals manufacturing plants with their own marketing network, and refineries that turn crude oil and other feedstocks into a range of oil products, which are moved and marketed around the world for domestic, industrial, and transport use; and operates a pipeline business, trading, and optimization of crude oil, oil products, and petrochemicals. The company was formerly known as Royal Dutch Shell plc and changed its name to Shell plc in January 2022. Shell plc was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $218.5B
Enterprise Value $285.4B
P/E (TTM) 12.28
Dividend Yield 1.84%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit 19.3%
Operating Margin 14.9%
Net Margin 8.2%
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Employees 84000
Country United Kingdom
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Shell plc at $78.81.

The business passes 5 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.

At $78.81, the stock trades at a 48% premium to its Graham Number of $53.08. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q3 2024
Gross Profit % 19.3% 11.4% N/A
Operating Margin % 14.9% 4.9% N/A
Net Income % 8.2% 6.5% N/A
Diluted EPS 2.00 1.42 N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $380.6B $370.4B N/A
Total Debt $75.6B $75.6B N/A
Working Capital $25.7B $24.8B N/A
Years to Pay Debt 13.28 18.30 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $2.3B $4.2B N/A
Owner Earnings $15.2B $15.1B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 66.0% 127.0% N/A
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $69.2B ▲ $69.7B +0.7%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Gross Margin
Prior year: 18.4% ▲ 19.3% +0.9pp
Buffett: consistent gross margin above 40% signals durable pricing power and competitive moat.
Operating Margin
Prior year: 15.0% ▲ 14.9% -0.1pp
Graham: operating margin reflects true business economics before financing. Trend matters as much as level.
Net Margin
Prior year: 6.9% ▲ 8.2% +1.3pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$69.7B/qtr (≈$278.8B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
❌ Financial Condition
Current assets vs current liabilities — a real-time liquidity snapshot. Valid and reliable on quarterly data.
1.27x current ratio
vs ≥ 2.0x
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$2.3B
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$6.1B
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
2.9%
Based on latest annual operating income
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Market Cap / Net Assets
1.3x
Net Assets: $174.6B
Asset Context — Oil & Gas Integrated
Asset-heavy businesses (energy, industrials, utilities, REITs) have physical assets with real replacement value — book value and Net Assets are more meaningful here than for technology or consumer brand companies. A low Market Cap / Net Assets ratio may indicate genuine undervaluation.
Peers & Industry Comparison
Oil & Gas Integrated — Auto-detected peers
Company Price Market Cap P/E Gross Margin Net Margin Revenue
SHEL $78.81 $218.5B 12.28 19.3% 8.2% $69.7B
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
$137.81 $571.2B 23.2 29.8% 7.8% $326.0B
CVX
Chevron Corporation
$173.63 $345.8B 30.2 42.4% 5.9% $185.7B
BP
BP p.l.c.
$39.10 $100.7B 31.8 28.9% 1.7% $193.0B
TTE
TotalEnergies SE
$80.43 $178.9B 11.9 38.4% 8.2% $184.0B
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.00%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.3%
Weak — poor returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
1.5%
Poor — assets are not generating adequate returns
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$13.9B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+0.0% YoY
Debt is roughly stable
Leadership Team
Wael Sawan
CEO & Director
Age 51
Pay: $6,229,972
0.109% of net income
Sinead Gorman
CFO & Director
Age 48
Pay: $4,094,289
0.072% of net income
Graham Robert van't Hoff
Executive Vice President of Chemicals
Age 63
Brian Paul Eggleston
Executive Vice President of Finance Downstream
Roland Alexander Ilube
Senior Vice President of Finance Mobility
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
FMR, LLC 3.48% 97,617,838
Fisher Asset Management, LLC 0.98% 27,474,710
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP 0.88% 24,690,100
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc 0.38% 10,568,968
Morgan Stanley 0.35% 9,673,916
Bank of America Corporation 0.27% 7,562,727
Franklin Resources, Inc. 0.26% 7,322,962
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership 0.26% 7,196,400
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
-0.25
Defensive — moves inversely to the market
Short Interest
1.9% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.43x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
1.27x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $67.25 Current: $78.81 High: $94.90
Currently at 42% of 52-week range

Shell plc (SHEL) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $53.08. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 19.3%. Operating margin: 14.9%. Net margin: 8.2%. Market cap: $218.5B. Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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