Mr. Market is currently offering Chevron Corporation at $191.96.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $191.96, the stock trades at a 62% premium to its Graham Number of $118.17. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the integrated energy and chemicals operations in the United States and internationally. It operates through Upstream, Downstream, and All Other segments. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration for, development, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas; processing, liquefaction, transportation, and regasification of liquefied natural gas; transportation of crude oil through pipelines; transportation, storage, and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and operation of a gas-to-liquids plant. Its Downstream segment refines crude oil into petroleum products; markets crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufactures and markets renewable fuels; transports crude oil and refined products through pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufactures and markets commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The All Other segment engages in cash management and debt financing; insurance; real estate; and technology activities. It has operations in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and Australia. The company was formerly known as ChevronTexaco Corporation and changed its name to Chevron Corporation in May 2005. Chevron Corporation was founded in 1879 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 30.4% ▲ | 29.4% | 30.7% | 31.4% |
| Operating Margin % | 9.0% ▼ | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.9% |
| Net Income % | 6.7% ▼ | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% |
| Diluted EPS | 6.63 ▼ | 9.72 | 11.36 | 18.28 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $324.0B | $256.9B | $261.6B | $257.7B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $40.8B ↑ | $24.5B | $20.8B | $23.3B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $5.2B ▲ | $2.4B | $8.9B | $16.1B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 3.31 | 1.39 | 0.98 | 0.66 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $16.6B ▲ | $15.0B | $19.8B | $37.6B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $50.1B | $51.8B | $55.0B | $62.7B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 141.0% | 93.1% | 74.1% | 33.8% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 141.0% | 93.1% | 74.1% | 33.8% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$12.1B | -$15.2B | -$14.9B | -$11.3B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $16.6B ▲ | $15.0B ▼ | $19.8B ▼ | $37.6B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $50.1B | $51.8B | $55.0B | $62.7B | N/A |
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E | Gross Margin | Net Margin | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVX | $191.96 | $382.4B | 33.44 | 30.4% | 6.7% | $184.4B |
| XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation |
$153.18 | $636.7B | 25.8 | 29.8% | 7.8% | $326.0B |
| BP BP p.l.c. |
$46.89 | $120.7B | 38.1 | 28.9% | 1.7% | $193.0B |
| SHEL Shell PLC |
$89.24 | $248.8B | 14.9 | 25.4% | 6.7% | $266.9B |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE |
$92.14 | $205.1B | 13.7 | 38.4% | 8.2% | $184.0B |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.18% | 182,961,533 |
| State Street Corporation | 7.64% | 152,281,267 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.09% | 141,290,397 |
| Berkshire Hathaway, Inc | 6.53% | 130,156,362 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.19% | 43,613,011 |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.82% | 36,305,638 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 1.81% | 36,036,844 |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.32% | 26,295,251 |
Chevron Corporation (CVX) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $118.17. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 30.4%. Operating margin: 9.0%. Net margin: 6.7%. Market cap: $382.4B. Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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