Mr. Market is currently offering Exxon Mobil Corporation at $153.34.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $153.34, the stock trades at a 58% premium to its Graham Number of $96.99. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Exxon Mobil Corporation engages in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products segment offers fuels, aromatics, and catalysts, as well as licensing services. Its Chemical Products segment manufactures and sells olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. The Specialty Products segment offers finished lubricants, basestocks, waxes, synthetics, elastomers, and resins. It is also involved in the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and other specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data center, and lithium. In addition, the company offers aviation fuel. It sells its products under the Exxon, Esso, and Mobil brands. Exxon Mobil Corporation was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 22.0% ▼ | 22.6% | 25.1% | 25.9% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 10.5% ▼ | 11.7% | 13.3% | 16.1% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 8.9% ▼ | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.0% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 6.70 ▼ | 7.84 | 8.89 | 13.26 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $449.0B | $453.5B | $376.3B | $369.1B |
| Total Debt | $43.5B ↑ | $41.7B | $41.6B | $41.2B |
| Working Capital | $11.1B ▼ | $21.7B | $31.3B | $28.6B |
| Years to Pay Debt | 1.51 | 1.24 | 1.15 | 0.74 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $23.6B ▼ | $30.7B | $33.5B | $58.4B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $83.2B | $81.4B | $78.6B | $98.2B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 98.3% | 72.2% | 60.9% | 33.0% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 98.3% | 72.2% | 60.9% | 33.0% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$20.3B | -$19.6B | -$17.7B | -$15.2B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $23.6B ▼ | $30.7B ▼ | $33.5B ▼ | $58.4B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $83.2B | $81.4B | $78.6B | $98.2B | N/A |
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E | Gross Margin | Net Margin | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | $153.34 | $637.4B | 25.81 | 22.0% | 8.9% | $323.9B |
| CVX Chevron Corporation |
$192.03 | $382.5B | 33.5 | 42.4% | 5.9% | $185.7B |
| BP BP p.l.c. |
$46.92 | $120.8B | 38.2 | 28.9% | 1.7% | $193.0B |
| SHEL Shell PLC |
$89.29 | $249.0B | 14.9 | 25.4% | 6.7% | $266.9B |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE |
$92.14 | $205.1B | 13.7 | 38.4% | 8.2% | $184.0B |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 10.34% | 429,761,518 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.49% | 311,222,419 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.93% | 205,114,242 |
| FMR, LLC | 3.17% | 131,721,707 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.31% | 95,923,254 |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.81% | 75,152,366 |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.79% | 74,457,855 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 1.69% | 70,376,165 |
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $96.99. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 22.0%. Operating margin: 10.5%. Net margin: 8.9%. Market cap: $637.4B. Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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