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United Parcel Service, Inc.

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Industrials
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS · Integrated Freight & Logistics
$106.85
▲ 2.63 (2.52%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
F
Defensive
C
Enterprising
Profitability
N/A
Fin. Health
D
Years to Pay Off Debt 33.2 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$20.6B
Working Capital $3.1B
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 5.06x
Cash Flow
C
Free Cash Flow $1.2B
CapEx % of Net Income 119.3%
Owner Earnings $2.9B
About United Parcel Service, Inc.
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap N/A
Enterprise Value $112.7B
P/E (TTM) 19.86
Dividend Yield 3.15%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
Sector Industrials
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Employees 460000
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering United Parcel Service, Inc. at $106.85.

The business passes only 1 of 5 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $106.85, the stock trades at a 482% premium to its Graham Number of $18.36. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q2 2026 Q4 2025
Gross Profit % N/A 20.8%
Operating Margin % N/A 10.5%
Net Income % N/A 7.3%
Diluted EPS 0.71 2.10
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $71.8B $73.1B N/A
Total Debt $28.7B $28.6B N/A
Working Capital $3.1B $3.4B N/A
Years to Pay Debt 33.17 15.96 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $1.2B $2.6B N/A
Owner Earnings $2.9B $3.5B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 119.3% 40.0% N/A
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
❌ Financial Condition
Current assets vs current liabilities — a real-time liquidity snapshot. Valid and reliable on quarterly data.
1.21x current ratio
vs ≥ 2.0x
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$1.2B
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$2.2B
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
nan%
Based on latest annual operating income
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Market Cap / Net Assets
5.1x
Net Assets: $15.8B
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Integrated Freight & Logistics. You can manually compare UPS against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.02%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$1.0B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+0.3% YoY
Debt is roughly stable
Leadership Team
Carol Tome
CEO & Director
Age 68
Pay: $3,969,488
Brian Dykes
Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Age 46
Pay: $1,669,306
Kathleen Gutmann
Executive VP and President of International, Healthcare & Supply Chain Solutions
Age 56
Pay: $1,903,309
Nando Cesarone
Executive VP & President of U.S. and UPS Airline
Age 53
Pay: $1,865,744
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Blackrock Inc. 6.85% 51,115,897
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 6.45% 48,152,554
State Street Corporation 4.37% 32,598,590
FMR, LLC 4.36% 32,574,845
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. 2.96% 22,112,857
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.35% 17,511,765
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 1.80% 13,471,962
Victory Capital Management Inc. 1.48% 11,040,973
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
1.04
Moderate volatility — moves slightly more than market
Short Interest
3.3% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
1.90x
Moderate leverage
Current Ratio
1.18x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $82.00 Current: $106.85 High: $122.41
Currently at 61% of 52-week range

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) fundamental analysis — Overall grade F based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $18.36. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: N/A. Market cap: N/A. Sector: Industrials. Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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