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Coterra Energy Inc.

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Energy
Coterra Energy Inc.
CTRA · Oil & Gas E&P
$32.56
▲ 0 (0%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
C
Defensive
C
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Gross Profit Margin 37.4%
Operating Margin 29.1%
Net Income Margin 18.8%
Fin. Health
D
Years to Pay Off Debt 10.9 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$3.3B
Working Capital $292M
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 1.67x
Cash Flow
C
Free Cash Flow $376M
CapEx % of Net Income 161.4%
Owner Earnings $1.6B
About Coterra Energy Inc.
Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's properties include the Permian Basin, which covers approximately 345,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, and an additional approximate of 49,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in Lea County, New Mexico; Marcellus Shale properties, which covers approximately 186,000 net acres located in Susquehanna County, northeast Pennsylvania; and Anadarko Basin, which covers approximately 208,000 net acres located in the mid-continent region in Oklahoma. It also operates natural gas and saltwater gathering, and disposal systems in Texas. The company sells its natural gas to industrial customers, local distribution companies, oil and gas marketers, energy companies, pipeline companies, and power generation facilities. The company was formerly known as Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation and changed its name to Coterra Energy Inc. in October 2021. Coterra Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $24.7B
Enterprise Value $27.9B
P/E (TTM) 15.00
Dividend Yield 2.47%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit 37.4%
Operating Margin 29.1%
Net Margin 18.8%
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Employees 1075
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Coterra Energy Inc. at $32.56.

The business passes only 2 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $32.56, the stock trades at a 118% premium to its Graham Number of $14.97. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Gross Profit % 37.4% 35.6%
Operating Margin % 29.1% 23.4%
Net Income % 18.8% 21.3%
Diluted EPS 0.51 0.40
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $24.2B $21.6B
Total Debt $4.0B $3.8B
Working Capital $292M $2.2B
Years to Pay Debt 10.92 12.80
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $376M $190M
Owner Earnings $1.6B $1.2B
CapEx % of Net Income 161.4% 146.8%
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $1.4B ▲ $2.0B +40.4%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Gross Margin
Prior year: 35.6% ▲ 37.4% +1.9pp
Buffett: consistent gross margin above 40% signals durable pricing power and competitive moat.
Operating Margin
Prior year: 40.9% ▲ 29.1% -11.8pp
Graham: operating margin reflects true business economics before financing. Trend matters as much as level.
Net Margin
Prior year: 21.3% ▲ 18.8% -2.5pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$2.0B/qtr (≈$7.8B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
❌ Financial Condition
Current assets vs current liabilities — a real-time liquidity snapshot. Valid and reliable on quarterly data.
1.19x current ratio
vs ≥ 2.0x
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$376M
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$970M
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
2.0%
Based on latest annual operating income
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Market Cap / Net Assets
1.7x
Net Assets: $14.8B
Asset Context — Oil & Gas E&P
Asset-heavy businesses (energy, industrials, utilities, REITs) have physical assets with real replacement value — book value and Net Assets are more meaningful here than for technology or consumer brand companies. A low Market Cap / Net Assets ratio may indicate genuine undervaluation.
⚠️ Revenue grew vs prior year but operating margin contracted. Possible explanations: deliberate investment in growth (hiring, marketing, R&D), input cost inflation, or pricing pressure from competition. Buffett distinguishes between spending that builds moat vs. spending that doesn't.
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Oil & Gas E&P. You can manually compare CTRA against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.93%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.5%
Weak — poor returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
1.5%
Poor — assets are not generating adequate returns
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$141M
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
-2.4% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
Thomas Jorden
CEO, President & Chairman
Age 68
Pay: $4,241,850
1.153% of net income
Shannon Young III
Executive VP & CFO
Age 53
Pay: $2,121,411
0.576% of net income
Michael Deshazer
Executive Vice President of Operations
Age 39
Pay: $1,618,540
0.440% of net income
Blake Sirgo
Executive Vice President of Business Units
Age 42
Pay: $1,578,147
0.429% of net income
Todd Liebl
Senior Vice President of Land
Age 67
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Vanguard Group Inc 12.67% 96,202,408
Wellington Management Group, LLP 10.10% 76,696,789
Blackrock Inc. 8.04% 61,064,369
State Street Corporation 5.87% 44,564,720
Davis Selected Advisers 4.28% 32,537,508
Aristotle Capital Management, LLC 3.84% 29,122,162
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. 3.65% 27,716,896
Victory Capital Management Inc. 2.90% 21,986,795
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.30
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
2.8% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.24x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
1.00x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $22.33 Current: $32.56 High: $36.88
Currently at 70% of 52-week range

Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $14.97. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 37.4%. Operating margin: 29.1%. Net margin: 18.8%. Market cap: $24.7B. Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas E&P. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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