Mr. Market is currently offering Coterra Energy Inc. at $35.79.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $35.79, the stock trades at a 14% premium to its Graham Number of $31.45. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's properties include the Permian Basin, which covers approximately 345,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, and an additional approximate of 49,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in Lea County, New Mexico; Marcellus Shale properties, which covers approximately 186,000 net acres located in Susquehanna County, northeast Pennsylvania; and Anadarko Basin, which covers approximately 208,000 net acres located in the mid-continent region in Oklahoma. It also operates natural gas and saltwater gathering, and disposal systems in Texas. The company sells its natural gas to industrial customers, local distribution companies, oil and gas marketers, energy companies, pipeline companies, and power generation facilities. The company was formerly known as Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation and changed its name to Coterra Energy Inc. in October 2021. Coterra Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 41.5% ▲ | 36.6% | 46.3% | 66.3% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 32.0% ▲ | 25.4% | 36.2% | 57.6% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 22.5% ▲ | 20.5% | 27.5% | 44.9% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 2.25 ▲ | 1.51 | 2.14 | 5.09 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $24.2B | $21.6B | $20.4B | $20.2B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $4.0B ↑ | $3.8B | $2.5B | $2.6B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $292M ▼ | $2.2B | $355M | $1.0B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 2.34 | 3.39 | 1.55 | 0.64 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $1.6B ▲ | $1.0B | $1.6B | $3.7B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $6.5B | $4.7B | $5.4B | $7.4B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 139.0% | 158.0% | 129.2% | 42.1% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 139.0% | 158.0% | 129.2% | 42.1% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$141M | -$455M | -$405M | -$1.2B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.6B ▲ | $1.0B ▼ | $1.6B ▼ | $3.7B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $6.5B | $4.7B | $5.4B | $7.4B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 12.67% | 96,202,408 |
| Wellington Management Group, LLP | 10.10% | 76,696,789 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 8.04% | 61,064,369 |
| State Street Corporation | 5.87% | 44,564,720 |
| Davis Selected Advisers | 4.28% | 32,537,508 |
| Aristotle Capital Management, LLC | 3.84% | 29,122,162 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 3.65% | 27,716,896 |
| Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2.90% | 21,986,795 |
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $31.45. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 41.5%. Operating margin: 32.0%. Net margin: 22.5%. Market cap: $27.2B. Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas E&P. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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