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Aflac Incorporated

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Financial Services
Aflac Incorporated
AFL · Insurance - Life
$115.47
▼ -0.77 (-0.66%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
C
Defensive
B
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Net Income Margin 23.1%
Fin. Health
F
Years to Pay Off Debt 7.8 yrs
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 1.96x
Cash Flow
A
Free Cash Flow $968M
About Aflac Incorporated
Aflac Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, provides supplemental health and life insurance products. It operates in two segments, Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Aflac Japan segment offers cancer, medical, nursing care, whole life, and GIFT insurance products, as well as WAYS and child endowment, and Tsumitasu insurance products in Japan. Its Aflac U.S. segment provides accident, disability, cancer, critical illness, hospital indemnity, dental, vision, and life insurance products in the United States. The company also provides hearing, final expense, pet, Medicare supplement, supplemental dental and vision, short-term disability, and absence management insurance products, as well as cafeteria plans. It sells its products to individuals, families, and business owners through individual, independent corporate, and affiliated corporate agencies; banks; independent associates/career agents; and brokers. Aflac Incorporated was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, Georgia.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
Market Cap $58.8B
Enterprise Value $66.0B
P/E (TTM) 13.20
Dividend Yield 2.02%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 23.1%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Life
Employees 12716
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Aflac Incorporated at $115.47.

The business passes only 3 of 5 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $115.47, the stock trades at a 125% premium to its Graham Number of $51.21. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025
Gross Profit % N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A
Net Income % 23.1% 28.2%
Diluted EPS 1.98 2.64
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025
Total Assets $116.3B $116.5B
Total Debt $7.9B $8.4B
Working Capital N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 7.76 6.10
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $968M $315M N/A
Owner Earnings N/A N/A N/A
CapEx % of Net Income N/A N/A N/A
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $3.5B ▲ $4.4B +27.7%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Net Margin
Prior year: 0.8% ▲ 23.1% +22.3pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$4.4B/qtr (≈$17.6B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$968M
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$968M
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
N/A
Based on latest annual operating income
Market Cap / Net Assets
2.0x
Net Assets: $30.0B
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Insurance - Life. You can manually compare AFL against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
10.88%
High — management has strong skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.4%
Weak — poor returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
0.9%
Poor — assets are not generating adequate returns
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$3.5B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
-6.0% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
Daniel Paul Amos
Chairman & CEO
Age 73
Pay: $9,820,972
0.964% of net income
Virgil Raynard Miller
President
Age 56
Pay: $3,326,805
0.326% of net income
Max Kristian Broden
Senior EVP & CFO
Age 46
Pay: $4,548,238
0.446% of net income
David Young
Vice President of Capital Markets
Steven Kent Beaver
Executive VP & CFO of Aflac Life Insurance Japan
Age 60
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. 10.21% 51,974,500
Blackrock Inc. 7.11% 36,205,291
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 5.94% 30,254,403
State Street Corporation 4.64% 23,600,470
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 3.58% 18,242,564
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.11% 10,717,264
Wells Fargo & Company 2.07% 10,548,868
Morgan Stanley 1.55% 7,901,444
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.61
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
2.3% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.48x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
0.94x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $96.95 Current: $115.47 High: $119.81
Currently at 81% of 52-week range

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $51.21. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 23.1%. Market cap: $58.8B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Insurance - Life. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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