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Aflac Incorporated

Data period: Annual Quarterly
NYSE · Financial Services
Aflac Incorporated
AFL · Insurance - Life
$115.47
▼ -0.77 (-0.66%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
B
Defensive
A
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Net Income Margin 21.0%
Fin. Health
B
Years to Pay Off Debt 2.3 yrs
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 1.99x
Cash Flow
A
Free Cash Flow $2.6B
About Aflac Incorporated
Aflac Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, provides supplemental health and life insurance products. It operates in two segments, Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Aflac Japan segment offers cancer, medical, nursing care, whole life, and GIFT insurance products, as well as WAYS and child endowment, and Tsumitasu insurance products in Japan. Its Aflac U.S. segment provides accident, disability, cancer, critical illness, hospital indemnity, dental, vision, and life insurance products in the United States. The company also provides hearing, final expense, pet, Medicare supplement, supplemental dental and vision, short-term disability, and absence management insurance products, as well as cafeteria plans. It sells its products to individuals, families, and business owners through individual, independent corporate, and affiliated corporate agencies; banks; independent associates/career agents; and brokers. Aflac Incorporated was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Columbus, Georgia.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
Market Cap $58.8B
Enterprise Value $66.0B
P/E (TTM) 13.20
Dividend Yield 2.02%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 21.0%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Life
Employees 12716
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Aflac Incorporated at $115.47.

The business passes 4 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.

At $115.47, the stock trades at a 22% premium to its Graham Number of $94.29. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Gross Profit % N/A N/A N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A N/A N/A
Net Income % 21.0% 28.5% 24.7% 23.1%
Diluted EPS 6.82 9.63 7.78 6.93
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Total Assets $116.5B $117.6B $126.7B $131.7B N/A
Total Debt $8.4B $7.5B $7.4B $7.4B N/A
Working Capital N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 2.31 1.38 1.58 1.68 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Free Cash Flow $2.6B $2.7B $3.2B $3.9B
Owner Earnings N/A N/A N/A N/A
CapEx % of Net Income N/A N/A N/A N/A
4/6
Graham Score
Enterprising Investor
Requires deeper research. Suited for active investors.
Graham's Fair Value
$94.29
Margin of Safety
0%
Market Cap / Net Assets
2.0x
Net Assets: $29.5B
Warren's Owner Earnings
N/A
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
4/6 — Enterprising Investor
Adequate Size
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
$17.4B
vs > $1.5B revenue
Earnings Stability
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
No loss years (4 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
2.02%
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
EPS grew from $6.93 to $6.82 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
-1.6% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
13.2x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
1.99x P/B (P/E×P/B: 26.3)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it matters.
✅ Adequate Size — $17.4B vs > $1.5B revenue
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
"The minimum size of an enterprise should be not less than $100 million of annual sales."
✅ Earnings Stability — No loss years (4 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
✅ Dividend Record — 2.02% vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
❌ Earnings Growth — -1.6% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $6.93 to $6.82 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
✅ Moderate P/E Ratio — 13.2x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
❌ Moderate Price-to-Book — 1.99x P/B (P/E×P/B: 26.3) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
These metrics estimate what Aflac Incorporated is worth based on fundamentals — independent of what the market prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors. EPV assumes zero growth. These are reference points, not price targets.
Net Current Asset Value
N/A
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
N/A
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
ROIC — Return on Invested Capital
N/A
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income N/A N/A N/A N/A
Repurchase of Capital Stock -$3.5B -$2.8B -$2.8B -$2.4B
Free Cash Flow $2.6B $2.7B $3.2B $3.9B
Warren's Owner Earnings N/A N/A N/A N/A
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Insurance - Life. You can manually compare AFL against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
10.88%
High — management has strong skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.4%
Adequate — returns are moderate
Return on Assets (ROA)
3.1%
Fair — average asset utilization
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$3.5B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+12.1% YoY
Debt is growing — management is leveraging up
Leadership Team
Daniel Paul Amos
Chairman & CEO
Age 73
Pay: $9,820,972
0.269% of net income
Virgil Raynard Miller
President
Age 56
Pay: $3,326,805
0.091% of net income
Max Kristian Broden
Senior EVP & CFO
Age 46
Pay: $4,548,238
0.125% of net income
David Young
Vice President of Capital Markets
Steven Kent Beaver
Executive VP & CFO of Aflac Life Insurance Japan
Age 60
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. 10.21% 51,974,500
Blackrock Inc. 7.11% 36,205,291
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 5.94% 30,254,403
State Street Corporation 4.64% 23,600,470
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 3.58% 18,242,564
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.11% 10,717,264
Wells Fargo & Company 2.07% 10,548,868
Morgan Stanley 1.55% 7,901,444
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.61
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
2.3% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.48x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
0.94x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $96.95 Current: $115.47 High: $119.81
Currently at 81% of 52-week range

Aflac Incorporated (AFL) fundamental analysis — Overall grade B based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $94.29. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 21.0%. Market cap: $58.8B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Insurance - Life. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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