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Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NASDAQ · Financial Services
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
ACGL · Insurance - Diversified
$91.18
▼ -1.19 (-1.29%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
B
Defensive
A
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Net Income Margin 23.9%
Fin. Health
B
Years to Pay Off Debt 2.6 yrs
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 1.36x
Cash Flow
A
Free Cash Flow $1.2B
CapEx % of Net Income 0.8%
Owner Earnings $1.1B
About Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other specialty products. The Mortgage segment offers U.S. primary mortgage insurance business written predominantly on loans sold to the Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation; reinsurance and underwriting services related to the U.S. credit-risk transfer business and other U.S. mortgage reinsurance transactions; and international mortgage insurance and reinsurance business covering loans. It markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. The company was formerly known as Risk Capital Holdings, Inc. Arch Capital Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $31.9B
Enterprise Value $32.2B
P/E (TTM) 7.01
Dividend Yield N/A
Exchange NASDAQ
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 23.9%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Diversified
Employees 8000
Country Bermuda
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Arch Capital Group Ltd. at $91.18.

The business passes only 3 of 5 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $91.18, the stock trades at a 39% premium to its Graham Number of $65.82. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025
Gross Profit % N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A
Net Income % 23.9% 26.0%
Diluted EPS 2.88 3.35
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $81.4B $79.2B N/A
Total Debt $2.7B $2.7B N/A
Working Capital N/A N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 2.61 2.20 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $1.2B $1.4B N/A
Owner Earnings $1.1B $1.3B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 0.8% 0.9% N/A
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $4.6B ▼ $4.4B -4.7%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Net Margin
Prior year: 12.5% ▲ 23.9% +11.4pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$4.4B/qtr (≈$17.5B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$1.2B
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$1.2B
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
N/A
Based on latest annual operating income
Market Cap / Net Assets
1.3x
Net Assets: $24.2B
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Insurance - Diversified. You can manually compare ACGL against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
2.62%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.5%
Weak — poor returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
1.3%
Poor — assets are not generating adequate returns
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$1.9B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+0.0% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
Nicolas Alain Emmanuel Papadopoulo
CEO & Director
Age 63
Pay: $7,285,628
0.696% of net income
Maamoun Jamil Rajeh
President
Age 55
Pay: $4,826,231
0.461% of net income
Francois Morin
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer
Age 58
Pay: $3,721,770
0.355% of net income
Donald Watson
Executive Vice President of Financial Services
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Blackrock Inc. 8.97% 31,354,204
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership 6.49% 22,666,011
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 6.47% 22,612,609
BAMCO Inc. 4.78% 16,709,759
State Street Corporation 4.65% 16,250,722
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 4.21% 14,712,819
WCM Investment Management, LLC 3.61% 12,602,412
Geode Capital Management, LLC 3.03% 10,586,271
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.31
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
2.9% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.11x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
0.57x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $82.45 Current: $91.18 High: $103.39
Currently at 42% of 52-week range

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) fundamental analysis — Overall grade B based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $65.82. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 23.9%. Market cap: $31.9B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Insurance - Diversified. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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