Fetching financial data...

360investing

★ Watchlist

Arch Capital Group Ltd.

NASDAQ · Financial Services
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
ACGL · Insurance - Diversified
$93.66
▼ -0.17 (-0.18%)
Data cached · refreshes every 10 min
Mr. Market is currently offering Arch Capital Group Ltd. at $93.66.
The business passes 5 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
Overall Grade
A
Defensive
A
Enterprising
Profitability A
Net Income Margin 22.8%
Fin. Health A
Years to Pay Off Debt 0.6 yrs
Valuation C
Margin of Safety 28.7%
Price-to-Book 1.42x
Cash Flow A
Free Cash Flow $6.1B
CapEx % of Net Income 1.0%
Owner Earnings $4.6B
5/6
Graham Score
Enterprising
Defensive — Graham's strict criteria (P/B, P/E, dividends, stability)  ·  Enterprising — Profitability & cash flow focused, accepts higher valuations for quality
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies. Negative P/B indicates book equity has been reduced by buybacks — common in highly profitable capital-return businesses.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $33.1B
Enterprise Value $32.9B
P/E (TTM) 7.20
Dividend Yield N/A
Exchange NASDAQ
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 22.8%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Diversified
Employees 8000
Country Bermuda
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Arch Capital Group Ltd. at $93.66.

The business passes 5 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.

At $93.66, the stock trades below its Graham Number of $131.43 — suggesting a margin of safety exists.

The margin of safety of 28.7% offers some protection but falls short of Graham's preferred 33% buffer.

Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.

About Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance. Its Reinsurance segment provides reinsurance products for casualty; marine and aviation; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe; and other specialty products. The Mortgage segment offers U.S. primary mortgage insurance business written predominantly on loans sold to the Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation; reinsurance and underwriting services related to the U.S. credit-risk transfer business and other U.S. mortgage reinsurance transactions; and international mortgage insurance and reinsurance business covering loans. It markets its products through a group of licensed independent retail and wholesale brokers. The company was formerly known as Risk Capital Holdings, Inc. Arch Capital Group Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Gross Profit % N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Net Income % 22.8% 25.5% 33.4% 15.4% N/A
Diluted EPS 11.60 11.19 11.62 3.80 N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Total Assets $79.2B $70.9B $58.9B $48.0B N/A
Total Debt $2.7B $2.7B $2.7B $2.7B N/A
Working Capital N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 0.62 0.63 0.61 1.85 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Free Cash Flow $6.1B $6.6B $5.7B $3.8B N/A
Owner Earnings $4.6B $4.6B $4.6B $1.6B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 3.4% N/A
These metrics estimate what Arch Capital Group Ltd. is worth based on its fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors rooted in 1930s–60s principles. EPV assumes zero growth. None are price targets — they are reference points for judging whether the current price offers a margin of safety.
Graham's Fair Value
$131.43
Margin of Safety
28.7%
Market Cap ÷ Company Value
1.11

P/B Ratio
1.42
Warren's Owner Earnings
$4.6B
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
5/6 — Enterprising Investor
Adequate Size
$19.3B
vs > $1.5B revenue
Earnings Stability
No loss years (4 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
No dividend
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
+205.3% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
7.2x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
1.42x P/B (P/E×P/B: 10.2)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it may or may not apply to modern businesses.
✅ Adequate Size — $19.3B vs > $1.5B revenue
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
"The minimum size of an enterprise should be not less than $100 million of annual sales."
✅ Earnings Stability — No loss years (4 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
❌ Dividend Record — No dividend vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
✅ Earnings Growth — +205.3% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $3.80 to $11.60 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
✅ Moderate P/E Ratio — 7.2x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
✅ Moderate Price-to-Book — 1.42x P/B (P/E×P/B: 10.2) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
Net Current Asset Value
N/A
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
N/A
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 3.4% N/A
Repurchase of Capital Stock -$1.9B -$24M -$2M -$586M N/A
Free Cash Flow $6.1B $6.6B $5.7B $3.8B N/A
Warren's Owner Earnings $4.6B $4.6B $4.6B $1.6B N/A
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Insurance - Diversified. You can manually compare ACGL against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
2.59%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.8%
Excellent — management generates strong returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
5.6%
Strong — management uses assets efficiently
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$1.9B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+0.0% YoY
Debt is roughly stable
Leadership Team
Nicolas Alain Emmanuel Papadopoulo
CEO & Director
Age 63
Pay: $7,285,628
0.166% of net income
Maamoun Jamil Rajeh
President
Age 55
Pay: $4,826,231
0.110% of net income
David Evan Gansberg
President
Age 53
Pay: $4,309,516
0.098% of net income
Francois Morin
Executive VP, CFO & Treasurer
Age 58
Pay: $3,721,770
0.085% of net income
Donald Watson
Executive Vice President of Financial Services
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Vanguard Group Inc 11.59% 41,288,784
Blackrock Inc. 8.91% 31,735,316
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership 6.53% 23,247,700
BAMCO Inc. 5.05% 17,987,505
State Street Corporation 4.62% 16,451,086
WCM Investment Management, LLC 3.73% 13,283,915
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.94% 10,466,550
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 1.89% 6,741,396
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.33
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
2.1% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.11x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
0.54x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $82.45 Current: $93.66 High: $103.39
Currently at 54% of 52-week range

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) fundamental analysis — Overall grade A based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $131.43. Margin of safety: 28.7%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 22.8%. Market cap: $33.1B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Insurance - Diversified. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

Disclaimer: 360investing is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. All data is sourced from public third-party providers and may be delayed, inaccurate, or incomplete. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Analysis, scores, and valuations are algorithmic and do not represent professional investment recommendations. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision. Use of this tool constitutes acceptance that 360investing and its operators bear no liability for decisions made based on information presented here.

Data Sources & Methodology Privacy Policy