Mr. Market is currently offering Xcel Energy Inc. at $81.09.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $81.09, the stock trades at a 50% premium to its Graham Number of $53.95. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas delivery company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility and Regulated Natural Gas Utility segments. The company generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity through its energy portfolio, including wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar power from both owned generation facilities and PPAs, as well as its fossil fuel energy portfolio, such as coal and natural gas; sale and resale of wholesale transmission service; and engages in wholesale commodity and trading operations. It also purchases, transports, stores, distributes, and sells natural gas; develops and leases natural gas pipelines and storage facilities; operates interstate natural gas pipeline; and invests in rental housing projects, energy technology companies, and community solar garden nonregulated assets. It serves electric and natural gas customers in portions of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, and Wisconsin. The company was formerly known as Northern States Power company. Xcel Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1909 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 47.2% ▲ | 45.7% | 42.1% | 38.3% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 19.6% ▲ | 17.8% | 18.2% | 15.9% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 13.8% ▼ | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 3.42 ▼ | 3.44 | 3.21 | 3.17 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $81.4B | $70.0B | $64.1B | $61.2B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $34.8B ↑ | $30.2B | $27.5B | $26.0B | N/A |
| Working Capital | -$2.1B ▲ | -$2.1B | -$1.6B | -$934M | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 17.24 | 15.60 | 15.54 | 15.00 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | -$6.8B ▼ | -$2.7B | -$527M | -$706M | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $16.0B | $12.2B | $10.2B | $8.9B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 540.5% | 380.4% | 330.5% | 267.2% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 540.5% | 380.4% | 330.5% | 267.2% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | -$6.8B ▼ | -$2.7B ▼ | -$527M ▲ | -$706M • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $16.0B | $12.2B | $10.2B | $8.9B | N/A |
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Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $53.95. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 47.2%. Operating margin: 19.6%. Net margin: 13.8%. Market cap: $50.6B. Sector: Utilities. Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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