Mr. Market is currently offering Valero Energy Corporation at $250.78.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $250.78, the stock trades at a 116% premium to its Graham Number of $116.26. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 4.4% ▲ | 3.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 3.5% ▲ | 2.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 1.9% ▼ | 2.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 7.57 ▼ | 8.58 | 24.92 | 29.04 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $58.0B | $60.1B | $63.1B | $61.0B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $11.7B ↑ | $11.5B | $12.6B | $12.7B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $9.1B ▲ | $8.2B | $9.4B | $6.7B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 4.98 | 4.17 | 1.43 | 1.10 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $5.0B ▼ | $5.8B | $8.3B | $10.9B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $6.3B | $6.5B | $12.4B | $15.7B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 33.9% | 32.7% | 10.3% | 14.6% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 33.9% | 32.7% | 10.3% | 14.6% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$2.6B | -$2.9B | -$5.1B | -$4.6B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.0B ▼ | $5.8B ▼ | $8.3B ▼ | $10.9B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $6.3B | $6.5B | $12.4B | $15.7B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 12.59% | 37,647,983 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 8.73% | 26,108,968 |
| State Street Corporation | 6.08% | 18,177,191 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 4.00% | 11,950,982 |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | 3.35% | 10,024,362 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.70% | 8,073,146 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.49% | 7,437,933 |
| NORGES BANK | 2.28% | 6,828,073 |
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $116.26. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 4.4%. Operating margin: 3.5%. Net margin: 1.9%. Market cap: $75.0B. Sector: Energy. Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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