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Toyota Motor Corporation

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical
Toyota Motor Corporation
TM · Auto Manufacturers
$188.30
▼ -0.41 (-0.22%)
Data cached · refreshes every 10 min
Mr. Market is currently offering Toyota Motor Corporation at $188.30.
The business passes only 3 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
Overall Grade
C
Defensive
F
Enterprising
Profitability N/A
Fin. Health D
Years to Pay Off Debt 8.1 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$14,877.7B
Working Capital $7,644.5B
Valuation A
Margin of Safety 99.6%
Price-to-Book 0.01x
Cash Flow F
Free Cash Flow -$1,561.0B
CapEx % of Net Income 110.3%
Owner Earnings $12,274.2B
3/6
Graham Score
Speculative
Defensive — Graham's strict criteria (P/B, P/E, dividends, stability)  ·  Enterprising — Profitability & cash flow focused, accepts higher valuations for quality
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies. Negative P/B indicates book equity has been reduced by buybacks — common in highly profitable capital-return businesses.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $223.0B
Enterprise Value $29,013.0B
P/E (TTM) 10.57
Dividend Yield 50.34%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin N/A
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Employees 390241
Country Japan
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Toyota Motor Corporation at $188.30.

The business passes only 3 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $188.30, the stock trades below its Graham Number of $49,121.98 — suggesting a margin of safety exists.

The margin of safety of 99.6% exceeds Graham's recommended 33% threshold — a rare opportunity.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

About Toyota Motor Corporation

Toyota Motor Corporation designs, manufactures, assembles, and sells passenger vehicles, minivans and commercial vehicles, and related parts and accessories in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, the Middle East, and internationally. It operates through Automotive, Financial Services, and All Other segments. The company offers subcompact and compact cars; mini-vehicles; mid-size, luxury, sports, and specialty cars; recreational and sport-utility vehicles; pickup trucks; minivans; trucks; and buses. It also develops and sells battery electric vehicles and batteries. In addition, the company provides financial services, such as retail financing and leasing, wholesale financing, insurance, and credit cards. Further, it operates GAZOO.com, a web portal for automobile information, as well as engages in telecommunications and other businesses. It offers vehicles under the Toyota and Lexus brand names. Toyota Motor Corporation was founded in 1933 and is headquartered in Toyota, Japan.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Gross Profit % N/A N/A 17.0% 19.0%
Operating Margin % N/A N/A 7.3% 9.5%
Net Income % N/A N/A 6.6% 9.1%
Diluted EPS 3,534.80 3,820.20 N/A N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Total Assets $93,601.4B $90,114.3B $74,303.2B $67,688.8B
Total Debt $38,792.9B $36,561.8B $29,380.3B $26,496.4B
Working Capital $7,644.5B $5,536.4B $2,500.1B $1,880.1B
Years to Pay Debt 8.14 7.39 11.99 9.30
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Free Cash Flow -$1,561.0B -$842.0B -$750.8B -$107.6B
Owner Earnings $12,274.2B $12,080.4B $8,197.1B $8,502.2B
CapEx % of Net Income 110.3% 102.1% 151.2% 134.4%
These metrics estimate what Toyota Motor Corporation is worth based on its fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors rooted in 1930s–60s principles. EPV assumes zero growth. None are price targets — they are reference points for judging whether the current price offers a margin of safety.
Graham's Fair Value
$49,121.98
Margin of Safety
99.6%
Market Cap ÷ Company Value
1.58

P/B Ratio
0.01
Warren's Owner Earnings
$12,274.2B
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
3/6 — Speculative Investor
Strong Financial Condition
1.26x
vs Current Ratio > 2.0x
Earnings Stability
No loss years (2 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
50.34%
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
-7.5% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
10.6x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
0.01x P/B (P/E×P/B: 0.1)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it may or may not apply to modern businesses.
❌ Strong Financial Condition — 1.26x vs Current Ratio > 2.0x
Current assets must be at least twice current liabilities. Note: highly profitable companies (Apple, Domino's) often run negative or low working capital deliberately — they collect cash fast and stretch payables. A failing score here is not always a warning sign.
"For industrial companies, current assets should be at least twice current liabilities."
❌ Earnings Stability — No loss years (2 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
✅ Dividend Record — 50.34% vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
❌ Earnings Growth — -7.5% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $3820.20 to $3534.80 over 1 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
✅ Moderate P/E Ratio — 10.6x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
✅ Moderate Price-to-Book — 0.01x P/B (P/E×P/B: 0.1) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
Net Current Asset Value
$-16,589.54
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign.
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
N/A
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income 110.3% 102.1% 151.2% 134.4%
Repurchase of Capital Stock N/A N/A N/A N/A
Free Cash Flow -$1,561.0B -$842.0B -$750.8B -$107.6B
Warren's Owner Earnings $12,274.2B $12,080.4B $8,197.1B $8,502.2B
Peers & Industry Comparison
Auto Manufacturers — Auto-detected peers
Company Price Market Cap P/E Gross Margin Net Margin Revenue
TM $188.30 $223.0B 10.57 N/A N/A N/A
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
$392.51 $1,474.2B 360.1 19.1% 3.9% $97.9B
F
Ford Motor Company
$11.50 $46.1B N/A 7.1% -3.2% $189.9B
GM
General Motors Company
$75.70 $68.3B 27.6 11.1% 1.4% $184.6B
STLA
Stellantis N.V.
$7.08 $20.5B N/A 5.8% -13.9% $155.8B
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.00%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Debt Trend YoY
+6.1% YoY
Debt is roughly stable
Leadership Team
Koji Sato
Vice Chairman & Chief Industry Officer
Age 56
Pay: $2,739,594
Yoichi Miyazaki
CFO, Operating Officer, Executive VP & Director
Age 62
Pay: $1,577,342
Kenta Kon
President & CEO
Age 57
Pay: $689,688
Gill Pratt
Chief Scientist, CEO & Executive Fellow of Toyota Research Institute, Inc.
Nobuhiko Murakami
Senior Managing Officer & CEO of East Asia, Oceania & Middle East Region
Age 66
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Fisher Asset Management, LLC 0.44% 6,995,672
Morgan Stanley 0.15% 2,421,645
Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.07% 1,150,167
Northern Trust Corporation 0.07% 1,047,133
Blackrock Inc. 0.06% 893,741
Bank of America Corporation 0.06% 928,662
FMR, LLC 0.06% 883,462
Natixis Advisors, LLC 0.03% 532,334
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.33
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
0.1% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
1.05x
Moderate leverage
Current Ratio
1.26x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $167.18 Current: $188.30 High: $248.90
Currently at 26% of 52-week range

Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $49,121.98. Margin of safety: 99.6%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: N/A. Market cap: $223.0B. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Industry: Auto Manufacturers. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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