Mr. Market is currently offering Constellation Brands, Inc. at $148.19.
The business passes only 2 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $148.19, the stock trades at a 47% premium to its Graham Number of $100.75. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson's Green Brier brand names. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 51.6% ▼ | 52.1% | 50.4% | 50.5% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 31.3% ▼ | 33.0% | 32.0% | 30.1% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 18.5% ▲ | -0.8% | 17.3% | -0.8% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 9.61 ▲ | -0.45 | 9.39 | -0.11 | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $21.9B | $21.7B | $25.7B | $24.7B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $11.2B ↓ | $12.1B | $12.6B | $13.0B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $216M ▲ | -$319M | $588M | $528M | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 6.64 | -148.81 | 7.27 | -182.54 | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B ▼ | $1.9B | $1.5B | $1.7B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $3.0B | $1.6B | $3.4B | $1.3B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 51.9% | N/A | 73.5% | N/A | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 51.9% | N/A | 73.5% | N/A | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$924M | -$1.1B | -$250M | -$3.2B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B ▼ | $1.9B ▲ | $1.5B ▼ | $1.7B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $3.0B | $1.6B | $3.4B | $1.3B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 10.38% | 17,864,333 |
| Berkshire Hathaway, Inc | 7.55% | 13,000,000 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 6.31% | 10,865,382 |
| Capital World Investors | 4.20% | 7,238,575 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.01% | 6,911,369 |
| Capital International Investors | 3.74% | 6,442,600 |
| Wellington Management Group, LLP | 3.50% | 6,018,653 |
| FMR, LLC | 2.34% | 4,033,393 |
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $100.75. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 51.6%. Operating margin: 31.3%. Net margin: 18.5%. Market cap: $25.5B. Sector: Consumer Defensive. Industry: Beverages - Brewers. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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