Mr. Market is currently offering Shopify Inc. at $127.55.
The business passes only 2 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $127.55, the stock trades at a 735% premium to its Graham Number of $15.28. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Trading at 23.7x NCAV. Expected for most quality businesses — NCAV was designed to find depression-era bargains and rarely applies to modern profitable companies..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Shopify Inc., a commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The Company offers Shopify platform that enables merchants to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics, and reporting and access financing for running their business across all of their sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces. It also provides Shopify Payments, a fully integrated payment processing service that allows merchants to accept and process payment cards online and offline. In addition, the company engages in the sale of themes and apps; shipping labels through Shopify Shipping; point-of-sale hardware; advertising on the Shopify App Store; and Shop Campaigns for buyer acquisitions, as well as registration of domain names. The company was formerly known as Jaded Pixel Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Shopify Inc. in November 2011. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 48.1% ▼ | 50.4% | 49.8% | 49.2% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 16.3% ▲ | 14.7% | 1.0% | -12.3% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 10.7% ▼ | 22.7% | 1.9% | -61.8% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | N/A • | 1.56 | 0.10 | -2.73 | 2.29 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $15.2B | $13.9B | $11.3B | $10.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $188M ↓ | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.4B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $6.9B ▲ | $5.3B | $5.4B | $5.2B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 0.15 | 0.56 | 8.71 | -0.40 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $2.0B ▲ | $1.6B | $905M | -$186M | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $1.3B | $2.1B | $241M | -$3.3B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 2.1% | 0.9% | 29.5% | N/A | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 2.1% | 0.9% | 29.5% | N/A | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.0B ▲ | $1.6B ▲ | $905M ▲ | -$186M • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $1.3B | $2.1B | $241M | -$3.3B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 4.14% | 50,670,627 |
| FMR, LLC | 3.93% | 48,003,077 |
| Capital World Investors | 3.91% | 47,822,705 |
| Capital International Investors | 3.14% | 38,343,155 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2.73% | 33,418,297 |
| BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO | 2.55% | 31,206,232 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.16% | 26,453,143 |
| Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc | 1.92% | 23,531,422 |
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) fundamental analysis — Overall grade B based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $15.28. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 48.1%. Operating margin: 16.3%. Net margin: 10.7%. Market cap: $165.6B. Sector: Technology. Industry: Software - Application. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
Disclaimer: 360investing is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. All data is sourced from public third-party providers and may be delayed, inaccurate, or incomplete. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Analysis, scores, and valuations are algorithmic and do not represent professional investment recommendations. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision. Use of this tool constitutes acceptance that 360investing and its operators bear no liability for decisions made based on information presented here.