Mr. Market is currently offering PepsiCo, Inc. at $153.97.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $153.97, the stock trades at a 243% premium to its Graham Number of $44.90. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through six segments: PepsiCo Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; International Beverages Franchise; Europe, Middle East and Africa; Latin America Foods; and Asia Pacific Foods. It offers cereals, chips, dips, granola bars, oatmeal, pasta, rice, and syrups and mixes; refrigerated dips and spreads; beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, and finished goods; and ready-to-drink tea and coffee products. The company also provides SodaStream sparkling water makers and related products, as well as various dairy products under the Agusha, Chudo, and Domik v Derevne brands. It serves wholesale and other distributors, foodservice customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers and authorized independent bottlers, and others through a network of direct-store-delivery, customer warehouse, and distributor networks, as well as directly to consumers through e-commerce platforms and retailers. PepsiCo, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is based in Purchase, New York.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 54.1% ▼ | 54.6% | 54.2% | 53.0% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 14.4% ▲ | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 8.8% ▼ | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 6.00 ▼ | 6.95 | 6.56 | 6.42 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $107.4B | $99.5B | $100.5B | $92.2B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $49.9B ↑ | $44.9B | $44.7B | $39.6B | N/A |
| Working Capital | -$4.8B ▲ | -$5.7B | -$4.7B | -$5.2B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 6.06 | 4.69 | 4.92 | 4.44 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $7.7B ▲ | $7.2B | $7.9B | $5.6B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $16.8B | $18.7B | $18.1B | $17.4B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 53.6% | 55.5% | 60.8% | 58.4% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 53.6% | 55.5% | 60.8% | 58.4% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$1.0B | -$1.0B | -$1.0B | -$1.5B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.7B ▲ | $7.2B ▼ | $7.9B ▲ | $5.6B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $16.8B | $18.7B | $18.1B | $17.4B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.86% | 138,483,870 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 8.23% | 115,568,103 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.23% | 59,392,615 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.39% | 33,617,937 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2.11% | 29,594,502 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 2.00% | 28,090,426 |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.78% | 24,956,082 |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.51% | 21,150,376 |
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $44.90. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 54.1%. Operating margin: 14.4%. Net margin: 8.8%. Market cap: $210.5B. Sector: Consumer Defensive. Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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