Mr. Market is currently offering Northrop Grumman Corporation at $567.00.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $567.00, the stock trades at a 105% premium to its Graham Number of $277.15. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, produces, integrates, sustains, and modernizes aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic, surveillance and reconnaissance systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces strategic deterrent systems, tactical weapons, and missile defense solutions; and provides sustainment, modernization, and training services for manned and unmanned aircraft and electronics systems. This segment also offers strategic missiles; integrated all-domain command and control systems; precision strike weapons; tactical solid rocket motors, and high-speed air-breathing and hypersonic systems; high-performance gun systems, ammunition, precision munitions, and advanced fuzes; and sustainment, operation, and modernization. The Mission Systems segment provides command, control, communication and computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared, and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; advanced communications and network systems; microelectronics; navigation and positioning sensors; maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems; cyber solutions; and intelligence processing systems. Its Space Systems segment offers satellites, spacecraft systems, subsystems, sensors, and payloads; ground systems; missile defense systems and interceptors; and launch vehicles and related propulsion systems. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 19.8% ▼ | 20.4% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| Operating Margin % | 10.2% ▼ | 10.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% |
| Net Income % | 10.0% ▼ | 10.2% | 5.2% | 13.4% |
| Diluted EPS | 29.08 ▲ | 28.34 | 13.53 | 31.47 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $51.4B | $49.4B | $46.5B | $43.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $17.0B ↑ | $16.5B | $15.7B | $13.6B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $1.4B ▲ | $146M | $1.8B | $901M | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 4.07 | 3.95 | 7.63 | 2.78 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $3.3B ▲ | $2.6B | $2.1B | $1.5B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $7.1B | $7.3B | $5.2B | $7.7B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 34.7% | 42.3% | 86.3% | 29.3% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 34.7% | 42.3% | 86.3% | 29.3% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$1.6B | -$2.5B | -$1.5B | -$1.5B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.3B ▲ | $2.6B ▲ | $2.1B ▲ | $1.5B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $7.1B | $7.3B | $5.2B | $7.7B | N/A |
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E | Gross Margin | Net Margin | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOC | $567.00 | $80.5B | 17.79 | 19.8% | 10.0% | $42.0B |
| BA Boeing Company (The) |
$221.30 | $174.5B | 87.8 | 4.8% | 2.5% | $92.2B |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation |
$518.15 | $119.5B | 25.1 | 9.9% | 6.4% | $75.1B |
| RTX RTX Corporation |
$172.90 | $232.8B | 32.5 | 20.2% | 8.0% | $90.4B |
| GD General Dynamics Corporation |
$349.08 | $94.4B | 22.0 | 15.2% | 8.1% | $53.8B |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.67% | 13,740,721 |
| State Street Corporation | 9.30% | 13,208,361 |
| Capital International Investors | 8.08% | 11,477,634 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.31% | 10,380,845 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.58% | 3,667,833 |
| Capital World Investors | 2.42% | 3,434,041 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.22% | 3,149,478 |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | 2.20% | 3,125,139 |
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $277.15. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 19.8%. Operating margin: 10.2%. Net margin: 10.0%. Market cap: $80.5B. Sector: Industrials. Industry: Aerospace & Defense. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
Disclaimer: 360investing is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. All data is sourced from public third-party providers and may be delayed, inaccurate, or incomplete. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Analysis, scores, and valuations are algorithmic and do not represent professional investment recommendations. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision. Use of this tool constitutes acceptance that 360investing and its operators bear no liability for decisions made based on information presented here.