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Mastercard Incorporated

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Financial Services
Mastercard Incorporated
MA · Credit Services
$489.79
▼ -3.2 (-0.65%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
C
Defensive
B
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Gross Profit Margin 75.7%
Operating Margin 59.1%
Net Income Margin 46.2%
Fin. Health
F
Years to Pay Off Debt 4.9 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$17.6B
Working Capital -$436M
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 63.93x
Cash Flow
A
Free Cash Flow $2.7B
CapEx % of Net Income 8.6%
Owner Earnings $4.5B
About Mastercard Incorporated
Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. The company offers products and services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, digital partners, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments; payment products and solutions that allow its customers to access funds in deposit and other accounts; prepaid programs services; consumer bill payment services; and commercial credit, debit, and prepaid payment products and solutions. It also provides solutions that enable businesses or governments to make payments to businesses, including Virtual Card Number, which is generated dynamically from an existing account and leverages the credit limit of the funding account; and a platform to optimize supplier payment enablement campaigns for financial institutions. In addition, the company offers Mastercard Move, which partners with digital messaging and payment platforms to enable consumers to send money directly within applications to other consumers; and partners with central banks, fintechs, and financial institutions, as well as enables various cross-border payment flows. Further, it provides security solutions; marketing, personalization, and issuer and merchant loyalty services; business and operational intelligence, advanced analytics and AI, consulting and agentic solutions, and payments and portfolio optimization; digital and authentication; processing and gateway solutions; and other solutions. The company offers payment solutions and services under the MasterCard, Maestro, and Cirrus names. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $432.8B
Enterprise Value $453.7B
P/E (TTM) 28.31
Dividend Yield 0.66%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit 75.7%
Operating Margin 59.1%
Net Margin 46.2%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Credit Services
Employees 39800
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Mastercard Incorporated at $489.79.

The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $489.79, the stock trades at a 1689% premium to its Graham Number of $27.38. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Gross Profit % 75.7% 79.4% N/A
Operating Margin % 59.1% 58.2% N/A
Net Income % 46.2% 46.1% N/A
Diluted EPS 4.35 4.52 3.64
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $52.4B $54.2B N/A
Total Debt $19.0B $19.0B N/A
Working Capital -$436M $796M N/A
Years to Pay Debt 4.88 4.68 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025
Free Cash Flow $2.7B $4.7B
Owner Earnings $4.5B $4.6B
CapEx % of Net Income 8.6% 7.1%
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $7.2B ▲ $8.4B +15.8%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Gross Margin
Prior year: 76.7% ▲ 75.7% -1.0pp
Buffett: consistent gross margin above 40% signals durable pricing power and competitive moat.
Operating Margin
Prior year: 68.5% ▲ 59.1% -9.4pp
Graham: operating margin reflects true business economics before financing. Trend matters as much as level.
Net Margin
Prior year: 45.2% ▲ 46.2% +1.0pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$8.4B/qtr (≈$33.6B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
❌ Financial Condition
Current assets vs current liabilities — a real-time liquidity snapshot. Valid and reliable on quarterly data.
0.98x current ratio
vs ≥ 2.0x
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$2.7B
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$3.0B
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
13.3%
Based on latest annual operating income
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Market Cap / Net Assets
63.9x
Net Assets: $6.7B
⚠️ Revenue grew vs prior year but operating margin contracted. Possible explanations: deliberate investment in growth (hiring, marketing, R&D), input cost inflation, or pricing pressure from competition. Buffett distinguishes between spending that builds moat vs. spending that doesn't.
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Credit Services. You can manually compare MA against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.11%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
57.8%
Excellent — management generates strong returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
7.4%
Strong — management uses assets efficiently
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$11.7B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
-0.2% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
Michael Miebach
CEO, President & Director
Age 57
Pay: $9,761,053
0.251% of net income
Sachin Mehra
Chief Financial Officer
Age 54
Pay: $3,326,275
0.086% of net income
Edward Grunde McLaughlin
President & CTO of Mastercard Technology
Age 59
Pay: $2,064,752
0.053% of net income
Linda Pistecchia Kirkpatrick
President of the Americas
Age 48
Pay: $2,297,718
0.059% of net income
Devin Corr
Executive Vice President of Investor Relations
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Blackrock Inc. 7.64% 67,011,988
Mastercard Foundation Asset Management Corp 7.44% 65,234,702
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 5.97% 52,337,454
State Street Corporation 4.16% 36,478,022
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 3.72% 32,656,501
FMR, LLC 2.77% 24,263,911
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.40% 21,071,444
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 2.22% 19,434,544
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.74
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
0.7% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
2.82x
High leverage — significant financial risk
Current Ratio
0.98x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $464.52 Current: $489.79 High: $601.77
Currently at 18% of 52-week range

Mastercard Incorporated (MA) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $27.38. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 75.7%. Operating margin: 59.1%. Net margin: 46.2%. Market cap: $432.8B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Credit Services. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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