Mr. Market is currently offering Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. at $28.87.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
At $28.87, the stock trades at a 14% premium to its Graham Number of $25.41. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. It manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages, as well as sales of owned brands and third-party brands; tea, cocoa, and other products; and offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products. The company offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Peñafiel, GHOST, Snapple, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Clamato, Core Hydration, The Original Donut Shop, Sunkist soda, Squirt, C4 Energy, Hawaiian Punch, Electrolit, Bloom, Bai, Evian, Yoo-Hoo, Vita Coco, Big Red, RC Cola, Crush, McCafé, Tim Hortons, Van Houtte, Celestial Seasonings, Bigelow, Starbucks, Dunkin', Folgers, Peet's, 7up Energy, and Swiss Miss brands, as well as other partner and private label brands. It markets and sells its products to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, e-commerce retailers, office superstores, vending machines, fountains, grocery and drug stores, convenience stores, and other small outlets; and directly to consumers through Keurig.com website. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Frisco, Texas.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 54.2% ▼ | 55.6% | 54.5% | 52.1% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 22.0% ▲ | 21.6% | 21.6% | 19.8% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 12.5% ▲ | 9.4% | 14.7% | 10.2% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 1.53 ▲ | 1.05 | 1.55 | 1.01 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $55.5B | $53.4B | $52.1B | $51.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $16.1B ↑ | $15.6B | $14.8B | $13.6B | N/A |
| Working Capital | -$3.0B ▲ | -$4.1B | -$5.5B | -$4.3B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 7.76 | 10.79 | 6.80 | 9.46 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $1.5B ▼ | $1.6B | $848M | $2.5B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $3.3B | $2.8B | $3.4B | $2.5B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 24.2% | 43.2% | 22.1% | 26.4% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 24.2% | 43.2% | 22.1% | 26.4% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$9M | -$1.1B | -$706M | -$379M | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.5B ▼ | $1.6B ▲ | $848M ▼ | $2.5B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $3.3B | $2.8B | $3.4B | $2.5B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 11.44% | 160,958,816 |
| FMR, LLC | 9.63% | 135,493,716 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 8.50% | 119,628,456 |
| Capital World Investors | 7.00% | 98,453,872 |
| Harris Associates L.P. | 6.13% | 86,269,175 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.57% | 64,250,978 |
| Wellington Management Group, LLP | 4.05% | 57,003,344 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 3.15% | 44,306,057 |
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $25.41. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 54.2%. Operating margin: 22.0%. Net margin: 12.5%. Market cap: $39.3B. Sector: Consumer Defensive. Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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