Mr. Market is currently offering Illinois Tool Works Inc. at $251.03.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $251.03, the stock trades at a 388% premium to its Graham Number of $51.40. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Illinois Tool Works Inc. provides industrial products and equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through seven segments: Automotive OEM; Food Equipment; Test & Measurement and Electronics; Welding; Polymers & Fluids; Construction Products; and Specialty Products. The Automotive OEM segment offers plastic and metal components, fasteners, and assemblies for automobiles, light trucks, and other industrial uses. The Food Equipment segment provides warewashing, cooking, refrigeration, and food processing equipment; kitchen exhaust, ventilation, and pollution control systems; and food equipment maintenance and repair services. The Test & Measurement and Electronics segment produce and sells test and measurement; and electronic manufacturing and maintenance, repair, and operations solutions. The Welding segment produces arc welding equipment, and metal arc welding consumables and related accessories. The Polymers & Fluids segment produces adhesives, sealants, lubrication and cutting fluids, and fluids and polymers for auto aftermarket maintenance and appearance. The Construction Products segment offers engineered fastening systems and solutions for the residential construction, renovation/remodel, and commercial construction markets. The Specialty Products segment provides beverage packaging equipment and consumables, product coding and marking equipment and consumables, and appliance components and fasteners. The company serves automotive OEM and aftermarket, commercial food equipment, construction, general industrial, industrial capital goods, consumer durables, and other markets, as well as MRO markets. It distributes its products directly to industrial manufacturers, as well as through independent distributors. Illinois Tool Works Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Glenview, Illinois.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 44.1% ▼ | 44.3% | 42.2% | 40.8% |
| Operating Margin % | 26.3% ▼ | 26.8% | 25.1% | 23.8% |
| Net Income % | 19.1% ▼ | 21.9% | 18.4% | 19.0% |
| Diluted EPS | 10.49 ▼ | 11.71 | 9.74 | 9.77 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $16.1B | $15.1B | $15.5B | $15.4B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $9.2B ↑ | $8.1B | $8.4B | $7.9B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $1.1B ▼ | $1.5B | $1.6B | $1.8B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 3.00 | 2.32 | 2.83 | 2.62 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $2.7B ▼ | $2.8B | $3.1B | $1.9B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $3.9B | $4.3B | $3.8B | $3.9B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 13.7% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 13.7% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$1.5B | -$1.5B | -$1.5B | -$1.8B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.7B ▼ | $2.8B ▼ | $3.1B ▲ | $1.9B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $3.9B | $4.3B | $3.8B | $3.9B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.33% | 26,887,218 |
| Briar Hall Management LLC | 8.97% | 25,850,978 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.68% | 22,119,573 |
| State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co | 7.30% | 21,029,900 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.37% | 12,596,511 |
| Northern Trust Corporation | 3.95% | 11,383,141 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.41% | 6,944,651 |
| Wells Fargo & Company | 2.27% | 6,544,483 |
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $51.40. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 44.1%. Operating margin: 26.3%. Net margin: 19.1%. Market cap: $72.3B. Sector: Industrials. Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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