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InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC
IHG · Lodging
$139.28
▼ -3.67 (-2.56%)
Data cached · refreshes every 10 min
Mr. Market is currently offering InterContinental Hotels Group PLC at $139.28.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
Overall Grade
B
Defensive
C
Enterprising
Profitability B
Gross Profit Margin 31.3%
Operating Margin 23.4%
Net Income Margin 14.6%
Fin. Health F
Years to Pay Off Debt 6.1 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$3.8B
Working Capital -$51M
Valuation A
Price-to-Book -7.57x
Cash Flow A
Free Cash Flow $821M
CapEx % of Net Income 10.2%
Owner Earnings $981M
4/7
Graham Score
Enterprising
Defensive — Graham's strict criteria (P/B, P/E, dividends, stability)  ·  Enterprising — Profitability & cash flow focused, accepts higher valuations for quality
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies. Negative P/B indicates book equity has been reduced by buybacks — common in highly profitable capital-return businesses.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $20.7B
Enterprise Value $25.0B
P/E (TTM) 28.66
Dividend Yield 1.29%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit 31.3%
Operating Margin 23.4%
Net Margin 14.6%
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Lodging
Employees 13049
Country United Kingdom
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering InterContinental Hotels Group PLC at $139.28.

The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.

About InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotel, Hotel Indigo, voco, Ruby, HUALUXE, Crowne Plaza, Iberostar Beachfront Resorts, EVEN Hotels, Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn, Garner, avid hotels, Atwell Suites, Staybridge Suites, IHG, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, and Candlewood Suites brand names. The company also provides IHG Rewards loyalty program. InterContinental Hotels Group PLC was formerly known as Six Continents PLC and changed its name to InterContinental Hotels Group PLC in June 2003. The company was founded in 1777 and is headquartered in Windsor, United Kingdom.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Gross Profit % 31.3% 29.6% 30.7% 27.7% N/A
Operating Margin % 23.4% 21.1% 22.4% 17.7% N/A
Net Income % 14.6% 12.8% 16.2% 9.6% N/A
Diluted EPS 4.87 N/A 4.41 2.06 1.45
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Total Assets $5.3B $4.7B $4.8B $4.2B N/A
Total Debt $4.6B $3.7B $3.6B $2.8B N/A
Working Capital -$51M -$59M -$61M $134M N/A
Years to Pay Debt 6.08 5.87 4.79 7.53 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Free Cash Flow $821M $646M $811M $547M N/A
Owner Earnings $981M $851M $982M $628M N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 10.2% 12.4% 10.9% 26.4% N/A
These metrics estimate what InterContinental Hotels Group PLC is worth based on its fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors rooted in 1930s–60s principles. EPV assumes zero growth. None are price targets — they are reference points for judging whether the current price offers a margin of safety.
Graham's Fair Value
N/A
Margin of Safety
Market Cap ÷ Company Value
-0.36

P/B Ratio
-7.57
Warren's Owner Earnings
$981M
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
4/7 — Enterprising Investor
Adequate Size
$5.2B
vs > $1.5B revenue
Strong Financial Condition
0.98x
vs Current Ratio > 2.0x
Earnings Stability
No loss years (4 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
1.29%
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
+236.4% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
28.7x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
N/A (negative book value)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it may or may not apply to modern businesses.
✅ Adequate Size — $5.2B vs > $1.5B revenue
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
"The minimum size of an enterprise should be not less than $100 million of annual sales."
❌ Strong Financial Condition — 0.98x vs Current Ratio > 2.0x
Current assets must be at least twice current liabilities. Note: highly profitable companies (Apple, Domino's) often run negative or low working capital deliberately — they collect cash fast and stretch payables. A failing score here is not always a warning sign.
"For industrial companies, current assets should be at least twice current liabilities."
✅ Earnings Stability — No loss years (4 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
✅ Dividend Record — 1.29% vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
✅ Earnings Growth — +236.4% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $1.45 to $4.87 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
❌ Moderate P/E Ratio — 28.7x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
❌ Moderate Price-to-Book — N/A (negative book value) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
This company has negative book equity — meaning accumulated buybacks and dividends exceed retained earnings on paper. This is common in highly profitable, capital-return-focused businesses (e.g. Domino's, McDonald's, Home Depot) and does not indicate financial distress. P/B is not a meaningful valuation metric for these companies.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
Net Current Asset Value
$-40.50
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign.
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
N/A
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income 10.2% 12.4% 10.9% 26.4% N/A
Repurchase of Capital Stock -$897M -$804M -$790M -$482M N/A
Free Cash Flow $821M $646M $811M $547M N/A
Warren's Owner Earnings $981M $851M $982M $628M N/A
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Lodging. You can manually compare IHG against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.01%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Assets (ROA)
14.2%
Strong — management uses assets efficiently
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$897M
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+24.9% YoY
Debt is growing — management is leveraging up
Leadership Team
Elie Wajih Maalouf
CEO & Executive Director
Age 61
Pay: $4,722,081
0.623% of net income
Michael Glover
CFO & Executive Director
Age 54
Pay: $2,534,826
0.334% of net income
Chris Moloney
Chief Operating Officer of South West Asia
Lewis Fader
Senior Vice President of Operations - Americas East Region & Canada
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
FMR, LLC 4.22% 6,333,673
Morgan Stanley 0.51% 764,049
Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.47% 710,121
Bank of America Corporation 0.34% 510,550
Natixis Advisors, LLC 0.31% 465,747
Royal Bank of Canada 0.31% 465,161
Lazard Asset Management LLC 0.30% 442,805
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 0.28% 422,632
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
1.03
Moderate volatility — moves slightly more than market
Short Interest
0.4% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Current Ratio
0.98x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $109.79 Current: $139.28 High: $150.89
Currently at 72% of 52-week range

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) fundamental analysis — Overall grade B based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: N/A. Gross profit margin: 31.3%. Operating margin: 23.4%. Net margin: 14.6%. Market cap: $20.7B. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Industry: Lodging. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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