Mr. Market is currently offering The Home Depot, Inc. at $313.46.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $313.46, the stock trades at a 388% premium to its Graham Number of $64.18. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and internationally. It sells various building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and décor products, as well as facilities maintenance, repair, and operations products. The company also offers installation services for flooring, water heaters, baths, garage doors, cabinets, cabinet makeovers, countertops, sheds, furnaces and central air systems, and windows. In addition, it provides tool and equipment rental services. The company serves consumers, such as do-it-yourself homeowners and do-it-for-me customers; and professional renovators/remodelers, general contractors, small to medium homebuilders, maintenance professionals, handymen, property managers, building service contractors and specialty tradespeople, such as electricians, landscapers, plumbers, painters, pool contractors, and roofers. It sells its products through websites and its mobile applications, including homedepot.com; homedepot.ca and homedepot.com.mx; blinds.com, justblinds.com, and americanblinds.com for custom window coverings; thecompanystore.com, an online site for textiles and décor products; hdsupply.com for maintenance, repair, and operations products and related services; and srsdistribution.com, heritagelandscapesupplygroup.com, and heritagepoolsupplygroup.com for roofing and building materials, landscape, and pool products; and The Home Depot stores. The Home Depot, Inc. was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 33.3% ▼ | 33.4% | 33.4% | 33.5% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 12.7% ▼ | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 8.6% ▼ | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 14.23 ▼ | 14.91 | 15.11 | 16.69 | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $105.1B | $96.1B | $76.5B | $76.4B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $65.3B ↑ | $62.3B | $52.2B | $50.4B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $2.0B ▼ | $3.0B | $7.8B | $9.4B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 4.62 | 4.21 | 3.45 | 2.94 | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $12.6B ▼ | $16.3B | $17.9B | $11.5B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $22.0B | $22.1B | $21.6B | $23.2B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 26.0% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 18.2% | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 26.0% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 18.2% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | $0M | -$649M | -$8.0B | -$6.7B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $12.6B ▼ | $16.3B ▼ | $17.9B ▲ | $11.5B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $22.0B | $22.1B | $21.6B | $23.2B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 10.00% | 99,635,779 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.72% | 76,862,995 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.71% | 46,925,342 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.39% | 23,756,142 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.22% | 22,113,754 |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.61% | 16,063,532 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 1.55% | 15,471,132 |
| NORGES BANK | 1.42% | 14,095,697 |
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $64.18. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 33.3%. Operating margin: 12.7%. Net margin: 8.6%. Market cap: $312.2B. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Industry: Home Improvement Retail. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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