Mr. Market is currently offering GXO Logistics, Inc. at $46.27.
The business passes only 2 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $46.27, the stock trades at a 262% premium to its Graham Number of $12.78. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services worldwide. It provides warehousing and distribution, order fulfilment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated in 1,043 facilities. The company serves a range of customers in the e-commerce, omnichannel retail, technology and consumer electronics, food and beverage, industrial and manufacturing, consumer packaged goods, and other industries. GXO Logistics, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 11.6% ▼ | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 3.2% ▼ | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 0.2% ▼ | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 0.28 ▼ | 1.12 | 1.92 | 1.67 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $12.3B | $11.3B | $9.5B | $9.2B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $5.9B ↑ | $5.2B | $4.1B | $4.2B | N/A |
| Working Capital | -$587M ▼ | -$548M | -$58M | -$104M | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 182.94 | 38.63 | 17.84 | 21.42 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $110M ▼ | $190M | $284M | $200M | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $813M | $908M | $864M | $868M | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 1,012.5% | 267.9% | 119.7% | 173.6% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 1,012.5% | 267.9% | 119.7% | 173.6% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$200M | $0M | $0M | N/A | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $110M ▼ | $190M ▼ | $284M ▲ | $200M • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $813M | $908M | $864M | $868M | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Orbis Allan Gray Ltd | 11.67% | 13,424,844 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.38% | 10,794,416 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 8.71% | 10,020,227 |
| ClearBridge Investments, LLC | 4.12% | 4,740,919 |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 3.91% | 4,495,476 |
| River Road Asset Management, LLC | 3.08% | 3,541,141 |
| State Street Corporation | 3.05% | 3,507,444 |
| Focus Partners Wealth | 3.00% | 3,450,768 |
GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) fundamental analysis — Overall grade F based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $12.78. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 11.6%. Operating margin: 3.2%. Net margin: 0.2%. Market cap: $5.3B. Sector: Industrials. Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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