Mr. Market is currently offering Expedia Group, Inc. at $246.50.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
At $246.50, the stock trades at a 395% premium to its Graham Number of $49.75. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group. The B2B segment provides various travel and non-travel companies including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management, and financial institutions who leverage its travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to its travelers. The trivago segment sends referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites. In addition, it provides brand advertising through online and offline channels, loyalty programs, mobile apps, and search engine marketing, as well as metasearch, social media, direct and personalized traveler communications on its websites, and through direct e-mail communication with its travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 90.1% ▲ | 89.5% | 87.7% | 85.8% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 14.7% ▲ | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 8.8% ▼ | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 9.81 ▲ | 8.95 | 5.31 | 2.17 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $24.5B | $22.4B | $21.6B | $21.6B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $6.4B ↓ | $6.5B | $6.6B | $6.6B | N/A |
| Working Capital | -$4.5B ▼ | -$3.8B | -$2.6B | -$2.0B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 4.96 | 5.29 | 8.24 | 18.61 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $3.1B ▲ | $2.3B | $1.8B | $2.8B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $3.0B | $2.8B | $2.5B | $1.8B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 59.5% | 61.3% | 106.1% | 188.1% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 59.5% | 61.3% | 106.1% | 188.1% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$1.9B | -$1.8B | -$2.1B | -$607M | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.1B ▲ | $2.3B ▲ | $1.8B ▼ | $2.8B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $3.0B | $2.8B | $2.5B | $1.8B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 12.63% | 14,784,141 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 8.41% | 9,836,038 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.82% | 5,637,388 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 4.63% | 5,420,560 |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 2.88% | 3,369,266 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.84% | 3,320,316 |
| NORGES BANK | 2.60% | 3,042,531 |
| Invesco Ltd. | 2.50% | 2,927,388 |
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $49.75. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 90.1%. Operating margin: 14.7%. Net margin: 8.8%. Market cap: $29.6B. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Industry: Travel Services. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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