Mr. Market is currently offering Airbnb, Inc. at $138.77.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $138.77, the stock trades at a 229% premium to its Graham Number of $42.13. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Trading at 12.1x NCAV. Expected for most quality businesses — NCAV was designed to find depression-era bargains and rarely applies to modern profitable companies..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 83.0% ▼ | 83.1% | 82.8% | 82.2% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 20.8% ▼ | 23.0% | 15.3% | 22.5% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 20.5% ▼ | 23.9% | 48.3% | 22.5% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 4.03 ▼ | 4.11 | 7.24 | 2.79 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $22.2B | $21.0B | $20.6B | $16.0B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $2.1B ↑ | $2.1B | $2.3B | $2.3B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $5.1B ▼ | $7.0B | $6.6B | $6.9B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.48 | 1.24 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $4.6B ▲ | $4.5B | $3.9B | $3.4B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.0B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.3% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.3% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$3.8B | -$3.4B | -$2.3B | -$1.5B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.6B ▲ | $4.5B ▲ | $3.9B ▲ | $3.4B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.0B | N/A |
| Company | Price | Market Cap | P/E | Gross Margin | Net Margin | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | $138.77 | $82.5B | 34.52 | 83.0% | 20.5% | $12.2B |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. Common St |
$165.87 | $128.5B | 21.9 | 87.0% | 22.2% | $27.7B |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. |
$248.10 | $29.8B | 25.3 | 90.1% | 8.8% | $14.7B |
| TRIP TripAdvisor, Inc. |
$11.34 | $1.3B | 36.6 | 62.9% | 2.1% | $1.9B |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.14% | 38,283,087 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.52% | 31,504,726 |
| Harris Associates L.P. | 4.46% | 18,694,408 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.28% | 17,922,560 |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.16% | 13,234,861 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.41% | 10,076,465 |
| FMR, LLC | 2.18% | 9,145,617 |
| AQR Capital Management, LLC | 1.61% | 6,762,784 |
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) fundamental analysis — Overall grade B based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $42.13. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 83.0%. Operating margin: 20.8%. Net margin: 20.5%. Market cap: $82.5B. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Industry: Travel Services. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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