Mr. Market is currently offering Costco Wholesale Corporation at $1,010.35.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
At $1,010.35, the stock trades at a 516% premium to its Graham Number of $164.12. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. The company is also involved in warehouse ancillary operations, which include gasoline, pharmacies, optical, food courts, hearing-aid centers, and tire installation centers. In addition, it engages in e-commerce, business centers, travel, and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 12.8% ▲ | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 3.8% ▲ | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 2.9% ▲ | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 18.21 ▲ | 16.56 | 14.16 | 13.14 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $77.1B | $69.8B | $69.0B | $64.2B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $8.2B ↑ | $8.2B | $8.9B | $9.0B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $1.3B ▲ | -$1.2B | $2.3B | $698M | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 1.01 | 1.11 | 1.41 | 1.55 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $7.8B ▲ | $6.6B | $6.7B | $3.5B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $16.0B | $14.3B | $12.7B | $11.6B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 67.9% | 63.9% | 68.7% | 66.6% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 67.9% | 63.9% | 68.7% | 66.6% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$903M | -$700M | -$676M | -$439M | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.8B ▲ | $6.6B ▼ | $6.7B ▲ | $3.5B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $16.0B | $14.3B | $12.7B | $11.6B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.83% | 43,620,717 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.91% | 35,099,521 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.09% | 18,147,159 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.34% | 10,388,519 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2.15% | 9,523,423 |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.52% | 6,741,380 |
| FMR, LLC | 1.51% | 6,693,144 |
| NORGES BANK | 1.36% | 6,024,787 |
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) fundamental analysis — Overall grade F based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $164.12. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 12.8%. Operating margin: 3.8%. Net margin: 2.9%. Market cap: $448.2B. Sector: Consumer Defensive. Industry: Discount Stores. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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