Mr. Market is currently offering Caterpillar Inc. at $874.59.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
At $874.59, the stock trades at a 528% premium to its Graham Number of $139.25. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.
Caterpillar Inc. provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. The Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators; backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders; and related parts and work tools. Its Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor scrapers and dozers, and landfill and soil compactors; machinery components, and wear and maintenance components; and technology products and services for fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services, and mining performance solutions. The Energy & Transportation segment offers reciprocating engine powered generator sets; reciprocating engines, drivetrain, and integrated systems and solutions; centrifugal gas compressors and related services; and diesel-electric locomotive components, and other rail-related products. Its Financial Products segment provides operating and finance leases, revolving charge accounts, installment sale contracts, repair/rebuild financing, working capital loans, and wholesale financing; and insurance and risk management products and services. The All Other segment offers parts distribution; logistics and distribution services; electronics and control systems; dealer portfolio management; brand management and marketing strategy; and digital investment services. It also provides mining software solutions. The company was formerly known as Caterpillar Tractor Co. Caterpillar Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 31.8% ▼ | 36.0% | 34.7% | 29.5% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 16.5% ▼ | 20.2% | 19.3% | 14.9% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 13.1% ▼ | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.3% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 18.81 ▼ | 22.05 | 20.12 | 12.64 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $98.6B | $87.8B | $87.5B | $81.9B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $43.3B ↑ | $38.4B | $37.9B | $37.0B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $15.9B ▲ | $13.4B | $12.2B | $12.3B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 4.88 | 3.56 | 3.67 | 5.52 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $7.5B ▼ | $8.8B | $9.8B | $5.2B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $15.4B | $16.2B | $15.6B | $11.5B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 48.2% | 29.8% | 29.9% | 38.8% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 48.2% | 29.8% | 29.9% | 38.8% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$5.2B | -$7.7B | -$5.0B | -$4.2B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.5B ▼ | $8.8B ▼ | $9.8B ▲ | $5.2B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $15.4B | $16.2B | $15.6B | $11.5B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.97% | 46,385,185 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.78% | 36,208,775 |
| State Street Corporation | 7.61% | 35,388,550 |
| State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co | 3.75% | 17,431,190 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.28% | 10,610,182 |
| Fisher Asset Management, LLC | 2.04% | 9,493,266 |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.52% | 7,075,119 |
| Bank of America Corporation | 1.45% | 6,738,802 |
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $139.25. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 31.8%. Operating margin: 16.5%. Net margin: 13.1%. Market cap: $406.9B. Sector: Industrials. Industry: Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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