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American Express Company

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Financial Services
American Express Company
AXP · Credit Services
$338.00
▼ -2.54 (-0.75%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
D
Defensive
C
Enterprising
Profitability
B
Net Income Margin 15.7%
Fin. Health
F
Years to Pay Off Debt 20.3 yrs
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 6.78x
Cash Flow
B
Free Cash Flow $2.7B
CapEx % of Net Income 38.7%
Owner Earnings $4.6B
About American Express Company
American Express Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated payments company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the Asia Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, Latin America, Canada, the Caribbean, and internationally. It operates through four segments: U.S. Consumer Services, Commercial Services, International Card Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services. The company offers credit and charge cards and complementary products and services, including travel, dining, and lifestyle and expense management products and services; and banking and other payment and financing products and services, including deposits and non-card lending. It also provides merchant acquisition and processing, servicing and settlement, fraud prevention, and point-of-sale marketing and information products and services, as well as network services. The company offers its products and services to consumers, small businesses, mid-sized companies, and large corporations through mobile and online applications, affiliate marketing, customer referral programs, third-party service providers and business partners, in-house sales teams, direct mail, telephone, and direct response advertising. American Express Company was founded in 1850 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $230.6B
Enterprise Value $239.1B
P/E (TTM) 21.11
Dividend Yield 1.00%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 15.7%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Credit Services
Employees 76800
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering American Express Company at $338.00.

The business passes only 2 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $338.00, the stock trades at a 388% premium to its Graham Number of $69.27. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Gross Profit % N/A N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A N/A
Net Income % 15.7% 13.0% N/A
Diluted EPS 4.28 3.53 N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $308.9B $300.1B N/A
Total Debt $60.4B $57.8B N/A
Working Capital N/A N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 20.34 23.46 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $2.7B $2.3B N/A
Owner Earnings $4.6B $3.6B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 38.7% 29.3% N/A
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $17.0B ▲ $18.9B +11.4%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Net Margin
Prior year: 15.2% ▲ 15.7% +0.5pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$18.9B/qtr (≈$75.6B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$2.7B
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$3.8B
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
N/A
Based on latest annual operating income
Market Cap / Net Assets
6.8x
Net Assets: $34.0B
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Credit Services. You can manually compare AXP against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
22.33%
High — management has strong skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.7%
Adequate — returns are moderate
Return on Assets (ROA)
1.0%
Poor — assets are not generating adequate returns
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$5.8B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+4.6% YoY
Debt is roughly stable
Leadership Team
Stephen Joseph Squeri
Chairman & CEO
Age 65
Pay: $17,287,408
0.582% of net income
Christophe Le Caillec
Chief Financial Officer
Age 58
Pay: $6,992,536
0.235% of net income
Raymond Donald Joabar
Group President of Global Commercial Services
Age 59
Pay: $6,363,786
0.214% of net income
Howard Martin Grosfield
Group President of US Consumer Services
Age 56
Pay: $6,975,740
0.235% of net income
Denise Pickett
President of Enterprise Shared Services
Age 59
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc 22.22% 151,610,700
Blackrock Inc. 6.14% 41,910,309
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 4.84% 33,010,215
State Street Corporation 4.28% 29,227,721
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 2.99% 20,408,323
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.08% 14,166,474
Morgan Stanley 1.88% 12,808,752
Fisher Asset Management, LLC 1.36% 9,250,373
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
1.06
Moderate volatility — moves slightly more than market
Short Interest
2.3% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
1.78x
Moderate leverage
Current Ratio
1.57x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $288.34 Current: $338.00 High: $387.49
Currently at 50% of 52-week range

American Express Company (AXP) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $69.27. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 15.7%. Market cap: $230.6B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Credit Services. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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