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Aon plc

Data period: Annual Quarterly Graham uses annual
NYSE · Financial Services
Aon plc
AON · Insurance Brokers
$317.74
▼ -8.95 (-2.74%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
C
Defensive
B
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Gross Profit Margin 52.5%
Operating Margin 35.9%
Net Income Margin 24.1%
Fin. Health
D
Years to Pay Off Debt 12.8 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$11.9B
Working Capital $1.6B
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 6.90x
Cash Flow
A
Free Cash Flow $363M
CapEx % of Net Income 5.5%
Owner Earnings $1.5B
About Aon plc
Aon plc operates as a professional services firm in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Risk Capital and Human Capital segments. The company offers commercial risk solutions comprising retail and insurance brokerage, specialty solutions, global risk consulting, captives management, and affinity programs; health solutions, such as consulting and brokerage, consumer benefits, and talent advisory services; and wealth solutions, including retirement consulting and investments. It also provides treaty and facultative reinsurance; strategy and technology group solutions; insurance-linked securities, capital raising, strategic advice, restructuring, and merger and acquisition services; and risk management products and solutions, capital market solutions, and corporate finance advisory services. In addition, the company offers strategic design advice and actuarial services; pension risk transfer and integrated pension administration; and investment advisory services on developing and maintaining investment programs across various plan types, including defined benefit plans, defined contribution plans, master trusts, and pooled employer plans for corporations, public pensions, endowments, and foundations. Aon plc was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $67.9B
Enterprise Value $85.2B
P/E (TTM) 17.43
Dividend Yield 0.91%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit 52.5%
Operating Margin 35.9%
Net Margin 24.1%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance Brokers
Employees 60000
Country Ireland
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Aon plc at $317.74.

The business passes only 2 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $317.74, the stock trades at a 316% premium to its Graham Number of $76.37. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Gross Profit % 52.5% 50.8% N/A
Operating Margin % 35.9% 31.1% N/A
Net Income % 24.1% 39.4% N/A
Diluted EPS 5.63 7.82 N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Total Assets $51.4B $50.8B N/A
Total Debt $15.5B $16.1B N/A
Working Capital $1.6B $2.5B N/A
Years to Pay Debt 12.77 9.49 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric Q1 2026 Q4 2025 Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow $363M $1.3B N/A
Owner Earnings $1.5B $2.0B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 5.5% 4.4% N/A
📊 Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $4.7B ▲ $5.0B +6.4%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Gross Margin
Prior year: 52.4% ▲ 52.5% +0.0pp
Buffett: consistent gross margin above 40% signals durable pricing power and competitive moat.
Operating Margin
Prior year: 38.2% ▲ 35.9% -2.3pp
Graham: operating margin reflects true business economics before financing. Trend matters as much as level.
Net Margin
Prior year: 20.4% ▲ 24.1% +3.7pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$5.0B/qtr (≈$20.1B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
❌ Financial Condition
Current assets vs current liabilities — a real-time liquidity snapshot. Valid and reliable on quarterly data.
1.07x current ratio
vs ≥ 2.0x
✅ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
$363M
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
$430M
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
5.3%
Based on latest annual operating income
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Market Cap / Net Assets
6.8x
Net Assets: $10.0B
⚠️ Revenue grew vs prior year but operating margin contracted. Possible explanations: deliberate investment in growth (hiring, marketing, R&D), input cost inflation, or pricing pressure from competition. Buffett distinguishes between spending that builds moat vs. spending that doesn't.
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Insurance Brokers. You can manually compare AON against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
1.17%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.3%
Adequate — returns are moderate
Return on Assets (ROA)
2.4%
Fair — average asset utilization
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$1.0B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
-3.7% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
Gregory Clarence Case
President, CEO & Executive Director
Age 62
Pay: $4,972,698
0.410% of net income
Edmund Reese
Executive VP & Chief Financial Officer
Age 50
Pay: $3,379,666
0.279% of net income
Mindy Simon
Executive VP & Global Chief Operating Officer
Age 48
Pay: $2,914,264
0.240% of net income
Andrew Marcell
Executive VP & CEO of Global Solutions
Age 57
Pay: $2,379,197
0.196% of net income
Karen Kissam
Senior Vice President - H&B Local Practice Leader
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Blackrock Inc. 7.56% 16,148,507
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 6.36% 13,581,756
Capital World Investors 5.37% 11,477,788
State Street Corporation 4.32% 9,219,773
Massachusetts Financial Services Co. 3.91% 8,358,097
Dodge & Cox Inc. 3.80% 8,116,095
Morgan Stanley 2.98% 6,374,945
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 2.64% 5,641,431
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.71
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
1.4% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
1.55x
Moderate leverage
Current Ratio
1.07x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $304.59 Current: $317.74 High: $381.00
Currently at 17% of 52-week range

Aon plc (AON) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $76.37. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 52.5%. Operating margin: 35.9%. Net margin: 24.1%. Market cap: $67.9B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Insurance Brokers. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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