Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin13.3%
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin13.3%
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Financial Health
C
Years to Pay Off Debt5.7 yrs
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt-$589M
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital$1.9B
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety0.0%
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book2.30x
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Cash Flow
D
Free Cash Flow-$298M
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income28.0%
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings$706M
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
About Alcoa Corporation
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the form of commodity grade ingot and value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in May 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the form of commodity grade ingot and value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in May 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Mr. Market is currently offering Alcoa Corporation at $59.37.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $59.37, the stock trades at a 95% premium to its Graham Number of $30.52. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric
Q1 2026
Q4 2025
Q4 2024
Gross Profit %
21.3%▲
16.7%•
N/A
Operating Margin %
13.3%▲
-3.2%•
N/A
Net Income %
13.3%▲
6.2%•
N/A
Diluted EPS
1.60▲
0.85•
N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric
Q1 2026
Q4 2025
Q4 2024
Total Assets
$16.6B
$16.1B
N/A
Total Debt
$2.4B▼
$2.7B•
N/A
Working Capital
$1.9B▲
$1.7B•
N/A
Years to Pay Debt
5.75
12.67
N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric
Q1 2026
Q4 2025
Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow
-$298M▼
$294M•
N/A
Owner Earnings
$706M
$618M
N/A
CapEx % of Net Income
28.0%
114.1%
N/A
Income Statement
2026
2025
2024
Tax Effect Of Unusual Items
16,104
43,050
Tax Rate For Calcs
0
0
Normalized EBITDA
598,000
41,000
Total Unusual Items
98,000
205,000
Total Unusual Items Excluding Goodwill
98,000
205,000
Net Income From Continuing Operation Net Minority Interest
425,000
213,000
Reconciled Depreciation
162,000
162,000
Reconciled Cost Of Revenue
2,512,000
2,873,000
EBITDA
696,000
246,000
EBIT
534,000
84,000
Net Interest Income
-35,000
-16,000
Interest Expense
35,000
16,000
Normalized Income
343,104
51,050
Net Income From Continuing And Discontinued Operation
425,000
213,000
Total Expenses
2,767,000
3,561,000
Diluted Average Shares
265,690
263,300
Basic Average Shares
263,650
260,928
Diluted EPS
0
0
Basic EPS
0
0
Diluted NI Availto Com Stockholders
425,000
213,000
Net Income Common Stockholders
425,000
213,000
Net Income
425,000
213,000
Minority Interests
8,000
11,000
Net Income Including Noncontrolling Interests
417,000
202,000
Net Income Continuous Operations
417,000
202,000
Tax Provision
82,000
-134,000
Pretax Income
499,000
68,000
Other Income Expense
108,000
196,000
Other Non Operating Income Expenses
25,000
8,000
Special Income Charges
-17,000
310,000
Gain On Sale Of Ppe
1,000
-1,000
Restructuring And Mergern Acquisition
18,000
-795,000
Earnings From Equity Interest
-15,000
-17,000
Gain On Sale Of Security
115,000
-105,000
Net Non Operating Interest Income Expense
-35,000
-16,000
Interest Expense Non Operating
35,000
16,000
Operating Income
426,000
-112,000
Operating Expense
255,000
688,000
Other Operating Expenses
162,000
631,000
Depreciation Amortization Depletion Income Statement
159,000
Research And Development
10,000
-11,000
Selling General And Administration
83,000
68,000
Gross Profit
681,000
576,000
Cost Of Revenue
2,512,000
2,873,000
Total Revenue
3,193,000
3,449,000
Operating Revenue
3,193,000
3,449,000
Balance Sheet
2026
2025
2024
Ordinary Shares Number
263,102
263,102
Share Issued
263,102
263,102
Net Debt
1,089,000
842,000
Total Debt
2,442,000
2,698,000
Tangible Book Value
6,792,000
6,084,000
Invested Capital
9,268,000
8,557,000
Working Capital
1,852,000
1,668,000
Net Tangible Assets
6,792,000
6,084,000
Capital Lease Obligations
259,000
223,000
Common Stock Equity
6,826,000
6,118,000
Total Capitalization
9,267,000
8,556,000
Total Equity Gross Minority Interest
6,891,000
6,194,000
Minority Interest
65,000
76,000
Stockholders Equity
6,826,000
6,118,000
Gains Losses Not Affecting Retained Earnings
-4,881,000
-5,189,000
Other Equity Adjustments
-4,881,000
-5,189,000
Retained Earnings
127,000
-271,000
Additional Paid In Capital
11,577,000
11,575,000
Capital Stock
3,000
3,000
Common Stock
3,000
3,000
Total Liabilities Net Minority Interest
9,749,000
9,935,000
Total Non Current Liabilities Net Minority Interest
5,923,000
6,134,000
Other Non Current Liabilities
513,000
35,000
Derivative Product Liabilities
916,000
1,134,000
Employee Benefits
669,000
785,000
Non Current Pension And Other Postretirement Benefit Plans
669,000
684,000
Tradeand Other Payables Non Current
87,000
93,000
Non Current Deferred Liabilities
30,000
48,000
Non Current Deferred Revenue
4,000
12,000
Long Term Debt And Capital Lease Obligation
2,441,000
2,697,000
Long Term Capital Lease Obligation
259,000
223,000
Long Term Debt
2,441,000
2,438,000
Long Term Provisions
1,297,000
1,360,000
Current Liabilities
3,826,000
3,801,000
Other Current Liabilities
1,395,000
1,185,000
Current Debt And Capital Lease Obligation
1,000
1,000
75,000
Current Debt
1,000
1,000
75,000
Other Current Borrowings
1,000
1,000
75,000
Pensionand Other Post Retirement Benefit Plans Current
349,000
383,000
Payables And Accrued Expenses
2,081,000
2,232,000
Payables
2,081,000
2,232,000
Total Tax Payable
310,000
294,000
Accounts Payable
1,771,000
1,938,000
Total Assets
16,640,000
16,129,000
Total Non Current Assets
10,962,000
10,660,000
Other Non Current Assets
183,000
185,000
Defined Pension Benefit
134,000
131,000
Non Current Prepaid Assets
447,000
441,000
Non Current Deferred Assets
920,000
927,000
Non Current Deferred Taxes Assets
663,000
687,000
Non Current Accounts Receivable
365,000
334,000
Financial Assets
42,000
34,000
Investments And Advances
1,976,000
1,874,000
Other Investments
491,000
0
10,000
Investmentin Financial Assets
1,485,000
1,397,000
0
Available For Sale Securities
1,485,000
1,397,000
Long Term Equity Investment
477,000
970,000
Goodwill And Other Intangible Assets
34,000
34,000
Other Intangible Assets
34,000
34,000
Goodwill
0
142,000
Net PPE
6,861,000
6,700,000
Accumulated Depreciation
-14,184,000
-13,837,000
Gross PPE
21,045,000
20,537,000
Construction In Progress
908,000
612,000
Other Properties
8,008,000
7,628,000
Machinery Furniture Equipment
11,374,000
11,077,000
Land And Improvements
247,000
233,000
Current Assets
5,678,000
5,469,000
Other Current Assets
505,000
378,000
Hedging Assets Current
122,000
49,000
Inventory
2,297,000
2,177,000
Other Inventories
604,000
580,000
Finished Goods
442,000
394,000
Work In Process
332,000
282,000
Raw Materials
919,000
921,000
Receivables
1,401,000
1,268,000
Other Receivables
209,000
204,000
Accounts Receivable
1,192,000
1,064,000
Cash Cash Equivalents And Short Term Investments
1,353,000
1,597,000
Cash And Cash Equivalents
1,353,000
1,597,000
Cash Flow
2026
2025
2024
Free Cash Flow
-298,000
294,000
Repayment Of Debt
-4,000
-144,000
Issuance Of Debt
104,000
9,000
Capital Expenditure
-119,000
-243,000
End Cash Position
1,447,000
1,692,000
Beginning Cash Position
1,692,000
1,574,000
Effect Of Exchange Rate Changes
3,000
-2,000
Changes In Cash
-248,000
120,000
Financing Cash Flow
60,000
-166,000
Cash Flow From Continuing Financing Activities
60,000
-166,000
Net Other Financing Charges
-13,000
-5,000
Cash Dividends Paid
-27,000
-26,000
Preferred Stock Dividend Paid
0
0
Common Stock Dividend Paid
-27,000
-26,000
Net Issuance Payments Of Debt
100,000
-135,000
Net Long Term Debt Issuance
100,000
-135,000
Long Term Debt Payments
-4,000
-144,000
Long Term Debt Issuance
104,000
9,000
Investing Cash Flow
-129,000
-251,000
Cash Flow From Continuing Investing Activities
-129,000
-251,000
Net Other Investing Changes
5,000
9,000
2,000
Net Investment Purchase And Sale
-15,000
-17,000
Sale Of Investment
0
Purchase Of Investment
-15,000
-17,000
Capital Expenditure Reported
-119,000
-243,000
Operating Cash Flow
-179,000
537,000
Cash Flow From Continuing Operating Activities
-179,000
537,000
Change In Working Capital
-792,000
-30,000
Change In Other Current Liabilities
-102,000
-203,000
Change In Other Current Assets
-68,000
-16,000
Change In Payables And Accrued Expense
-315,000
229,000
Change In Accrued Expense
-94,000
34,000
Change In Payable
-221,000
195,000
Change In Account Payable
-195,000
323,000
Change In Tax Payable
-26,000
-128,000
Change In Income Tax Payable
-26,000
-128,000
Change In Prepaid Assets
-7,000
-14,000
Change In Inventory
-183,000
4,000
Change In Receivables
-117,000
-30,000
Other Non Cash Items
24,000
24,000
Stock Based Compensation
13,000
8,000
Deferred Tax
76,000
-70,000
Deferred Income Tax
76,000
-70,000
Depreciation Amortization Depletion
162,000
162,000
Depreciation And Amortization
162,000
162,000
Depreciation
162,000
162,000
Operating Gains Losses
-79,000
97,000
Pension And Employee Benefit Expense
6,000
4,000
Earnings Losses From Equity Investments
6,000
9,000
Gain Loss On Investment Securities
-90,000
83,000
Net Income From Continuing Operations
417,000
202,000
📊Quarterly mode — Graham Fair Value & 7 Criteria require annual data. Switch to Annual for full analysis.
Quarter vs Same Quarter Last Year
YoY strips seasonality
Revenue Growth (YoY)
Prior year: $3.4B▼ $3.2B-5.2%
Revenue growth vs same quarter last year strips seasonality. Consistent double-digit growth is a Buffett hallmark.
Gross Margin
Prior year: 27.6%▼ 21.3%-6.3pp
Buffett: consistent gross margin above 40% signals durable pricing power and competitive moat.
Operating Margin
Prior year: 12.6%▼ 13.3%+0.7pp
Graham: operating margin reflects true business economics before financing. Trend matters as much as level.
Net Margin
Prior year: 16.3%▼ 13.3%-3.0pp
Net margin can be distorted by one-time items, tax timing, or interest costs — compare to operating margin for signal quality.
Quarterly Health Checks
3 Graham/Buffett criteria that are valid and reliable on quarterly data
✅ Adequate Size
Graham required scale for resilience. Quarterly revenue × 4 gives an annualised proxy.
$3.2B/qtr (≈$12.8B ann.)
vs > $1.5B annualised revenue
❌ Financial Condition
Current assets vs current liabilities — a real-time liquidity snapshot. Valid and reliable on quarterly data.
1.48x current ratio
vs ≥ 2.0x
❌ Free Cash Flow
Buffett's most important single metric. A positive FCF quarter means the business generated real cash for owners after maintaining its asset base.
-$298M
vs Positive
Operating Cash Flow
-$179M
Latest quarter · Buffett's cash reality check
ROIC
2.6%
Based on latest annual operating income
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Market Cap / Net Assets
2.3x
Net Assets: $6.9B
Asset Context — Aluminum
Asset-heavy businesses (energy, industrials, utilities, REITs) have physical assets with real replacement value — book value and Net Assets are more meaningful here than for technology or consumer brand companies. A low Market Cap / Net Assets ratio may indicate genuine undervaluation.
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Aluminum. You can manually compare AA against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.55%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.2%
Weak — poor returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
2.6%
Fair — average asset utilization
Debt Trend YoY
-9.5% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
William Oplinger
President, CEO & Director
Age 58
Pay: $3,768,357
0.887% of net income
Molly Beerman
Executive VP & CFO
Age 61
Pay: $1,696,610
0.399% of net income
Matthew Reed
Executive VP & COO
Age 52
Pay: $1,609,401
0.379% of net income
Heather Hudak
Senior Vice President of Tax
Louis Langlois CPA
Senior Vice President of Treasury & Capital Markets
Top Institutional Holders
Institution
% Owned
Shares
Blackrock Inc.
10.76%
28,392,633
Eagle Capital Management LLC
5.34%
14,097,362
FMR, LLC
4.87%
12,852,778
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
4.79%
12,644,935
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
4.46%
11,776,650
State Street Corporation
4.12%
10,881,537
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
3.27%
8,625,297
Geode Capital Management, LLC
2.25%
5,942,801
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
1.57
High volatility — moves more than the market
Short Interest
2.5% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.37x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
1.48x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $27.72Current: $59.37High: $84.38
Currently at 56% of 52-week range
Alcoa Corporation (AA) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's
Fair Value: $30.52. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 21.3%. Operating margin: 13.3%. Net margin: 13.3%. Market cap: $15.7B. Sector: Basic Materials. Industry: Aluminum. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett
principles.
Disclaimer: 360investing is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. All data is sourced from public third-party providers
and may be delayed, inaccurate, or incomplete. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Analysis, scores, and valuations are algorithmic and do not represent professional investment recommendations. Always conduct your own due
diligence and consult a qualified financial adviser before making any investment decision. Use of this tool constitutes acceptance that 360investing and its operators bear no liability for decisions made based on information presented here.