Mr. Market is currently offering Target Corporation at $127.67.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
At $127.67, the stock trades at a 58% premium to its Graham Number of $80.69. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.
Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers apparel for women, men, young adults, kids, toddlers, and babies, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty products, such as skin and bath care, cosmetics, hair care, oral care, deodorant, and shaving products. The company also provides food and beverage products comprising dry and perishable grocery, including snacks, candy, beverages, deli, bakery, meat, produce, and food service; electronics which includes video games and consoles, toys, sporting goods, entertainment, and luggage; bed and bath, home décor, school/office supplies, storage, small appliances, kitchenware, greeting cards, party supplies, furniture, lighting, home improvement, and seasonal merchandise; and household essentials, such as household cleaning, paper products, over-the-counter healthcare, vitamins and supplements, baby gear, and pet supplies. In addition, it sells merchandise through periodic design and creative partnerships, and shop-in-shop experience; and in-store amenities. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 27.9% ▼ | 28.2% | 27.5% | 24.6% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 4.9% ▼ | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 3.5% ▼ | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 8.13 ▼ | 8.86 | 8.94 | 5.98 | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $59.5B | $57.8B | $55.4B | $53.3B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $20.3B ↑ | $19.9B | $19.6B | $19.1B | N/A |
| Working Capital | -$1.2B ▲ | -$1.3B | -$1.8B | -$1.7B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 5.48 | 4.86 | 4.75 | 6.86 | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $2.8B ▼ | $4.5B | $3.8B | -$1.5B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $10.6B | $10.0B | $11.7B | $11.0B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 100.6% | 70.7% | 116.1% | 198.8% | N/A |
| Metric | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 100.6% | 70.7% | 116.1% | 198.8% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$408M | -$1.0B | $0M | -$2.6B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.8B ▼ | $4.5B ▲ | $3.8B ▲ | -$1.5B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $10.6B | $10.0B | $11.7B | $11.0B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 12.82% | 58,212,397 |
| State Street Corporation | 8.32% | 37,772,533 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.66% | 34,774,082 |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. | 3.76% | 17,065,926 |
| FMR, LLC | 3.70% | 16,796,000 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.27% | 10,299,351 |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.77% | 8,058,019 |
| Franklin Resources, Inc. | 1.36% | 6,194,448 |
Target Corporation (TGT) fundamental analysis — Overall grade F based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $80.69. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 27.9%. Operating margin: 4.9%. Net margin: 3.5%. Market cap: $58.0B. Sector: Consumer Defensive. Industry: Discount Stores. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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