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Morgan Stanley

NYSE · Financial Services
Morgan Stanley
MS · Capital Markets
$187.77
▼ -2.4 (-1.26%)
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Mr. Market is currently offering Morgan Stanley at $187.77.
The business passes 4 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
Overall Grade
D
Defensive
C
Enterprising
Profitability A
Net Income Margin 25.6%
Fin. Health F
Years to Pay Off Debt 22.0 yrs
Valuation F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 2.91x
Cash Flow C
Free Cash Flow -$20.8B
CapEx % of Net Income 17.2%
Owner Earnings $24.4B
4/6
Graham Score
Enterprising
Defensive — Graham's strict criteria (P/B, P/E, dividends, stability)  ·  Enterprising — Profitability & cash flow focused, accepts higher valuations for quality
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies. Negative P/B indicates book equity has been reduced by buybacks — common in highly profitable capital-return businesses.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $298.2B
Enterprise Value $224.3B
P/E (TTM) 16.99
Dividend Yield 2.10%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 25.6%
Sector Financial Services
Industry Capital Markets
Employees 83922
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Morgan Stanley at $187.77.

The business passes 4 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.

At $187.77, the stock trades at a 54% premium to its Graham Number of $121.71. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.

About Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals in the Americas, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management segments. The company offers capital raising and financial advisory services, including services related to the underwriting of debt, equity securities, and other products, as well as advice on mergers and acquisitions, restructurings, and project finance. It also provides equity and fixed income products comprising sales, financing, prime brokerage, and market-making services; Asia wealth management; business-related investments services; originating corporate and commercial real estate loans, secured lending facilities, and extending securities-based and other financing; and research activities. In addition, the company offers financial advisor-led brokerage, investment advisory, custody, cash management, and administrative services; self-directed brokerage services; financial and wealth planning services; stock plan administration; securities-based lending, residential real estate loans, and other lending products; banking; and retirement plan services. Further, it provides equity, fixed income, alternatives and solutions, and liquidity and overlay services to benefit/defined contribution plans, foundations, endowments, government entities, sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies, third-party fund sponsors, corporations, and individuals. Morgan Stanley was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Gross Profit % N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Net Income % 25.6% 23.2% 17.9% 22.0% N/A
Diluted EPS 10.21 7.95 5.18 6.15 N/A
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Total Assets $1,420.3B $1,215.1B $1,193.7B $1,180.2B
Total Debt $370.5B $310.4B $276.4B $246.2B
Working Capital N/A N/A N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 21.98 23.18 30.42 22.32
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Free Cash Flow -$20.8B -$2.1B -$36.9B -$9.5B N/A
Owner Earnings $24.4B $22.0B $16.8B $18.1B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 17.2% 25.9% 37.5% 27.9% N/A
These metrics estimate what Morgan Stanley is worth based on its fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors rooted in 1930s–60s principles. EPV assumes zero growth. None are price targets — they are reference points for judging whether the current price offers a margin of safety.
Graham's Fair Value
$121.71
Margin of Safety
0%
Market Cap ÷ Company Value
4.09

P/B Ratio
2.91
Warren's Owner Earnings
$24.4B
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
4/6 — Enterprising Investor
Adequate Size
$66.0B
vs > $1.5B revenue
Earnings Stability
No loss years (4 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
2.10%
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
+66.0% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
17.0x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
2.91x P/B (P/E×P/B: 49.5)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it may or may not apply to modern businesses.
✅ Adequate Size — $66.0B vs > $1.5B revenue
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
"The minimum size of an enterprise should be not less than $100 million of annual sales."
✅ Earnings Stability — No loss years (4 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
✅ Dividend Record — 2.10% vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
✅ Earnings Growth — +66.0% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $6.15 to $10.21 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
❌ Moderate P/E Ratio — 17.0x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
❌ Moderate Price-to-Book — 2.91x P/B (P/E×P/B: 49.5) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
Net Current Asset Value
N/A
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
N/A
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income 17.2% 25.9% 37.5% 27.9% N/A
Repurchase of Capital Stock -$5.8B -$4.2B -$6.2B -$10.9B N/A
Free Cash Flow -$20.8B -$2.1B -$36.9B -$9.5B N/A
Warren's Owner Earnings $24.4B $22.0B $16.8B $18.1B N/A
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Capital Markets. You can manually compare MS against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
24.27%
High — management has strong skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
16.5%
Excellent — management generates strong returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
1.2%
Poor — assets are not generating adequate returns
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$5.8B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+19.4% YoY
Debt is growing — management is leveraging up
Leadership Team
Edward Pick
CEO & Chairman of the Board
Age 56
Pay: $12,690,324
0.075% of net income
Daniel Aaron Simkowitz
Co-President
Age 59
Pay: $12,201,500
0.072% of net income
Andrew Michael Saperstein
Co-President
Age 58
Pay: $12,297,226
0.073% of net income
Sharon Yeshaya
Executive VP & CFO
Age 45
Pay: $8,924,403
0.053% of net income
Clint Gartin
Chairman of Investment Banking
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc 23.85% 377,085,167
Vanguard Group Inc 7.57% 119,718,100
State Street Corporation 6.57% 103,854,751
Blackrock Inc. 6.02% 95,248,897
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 2.26% 35,714,453
Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.71% 27,070,557
FMR, LLC 1.65% 26,166,591
Fisher Asset Management, LLC 1.58% 25,018,335
⚠️ Very high debt-to-equity — leverage risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
1.21
Moderate volatility — moves slightly more than market
Short Interest
0.0% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
4.56x
High leverage — significant financial risk
52-Week Price Range
Low: $117.21 Current: $187.77 High: $194.59
Currently at 91% of 52-week range

Morgan Stanley (MS) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $121.71. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 25.6%. Market cap: $298.2B. Sector: Financial Services. Industry: Capital Markets. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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