Mr. Market is currently offering Molina Healthcare, Inc. at $195.16.
The business passes only 2 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $195.16, the stock trades at a 56% premium to its Graham Number of $125.20. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Trading at 10.7x NCAV. Expected for most quality businesses — NCAV was designed to find depression-era bargains and rarely applies to modern profitable companies..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces in the United States. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 9.0% ▼ | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 1.7% ▼ | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 1.0% ▼ | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 8.92 ▼ | 20.42 | 18.71 | 13.55 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $15.6B | $15.6B | $14.9B | $12.3B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $4.0B ↑ | $3.1B | $2.4B | $2.4B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $5.1B ▲ | $4.9B | $4.4B | $3.2B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 8.37 | 2.64 | 2.19 | 3.02 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | -$636M ▼ | $544M | $1.6B | $682M | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $768M | $1.5B | $1.3B | $1.1B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 21.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 21.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$1.0B | -$1.0B | $0M | -$400M | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | -$636M ▼ | $544M ▼ | $1.6B ▲ | $682M • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $768M | $1.5B | $1.3B | $1.1B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 11.68% | 6,083,536 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.47% | 3,892,318 |
| Capital World Investors | 6.73% | 3,504,192 |
| FMR, LLC | 5.71% | 2,976,088 |
| Harris Associates L.P. | 4.50% | 2,346,437 |
| T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. | 4.17% | 2,171,433 |
| State Street Corporation | 3.85% | 2,008,163 |
| Invesco Ltd. | 3.25% | 1,690,981 |
Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) fundamental analysis — Overall grade D based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $125.20. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 9.0%. Operating margin: 1.7%. Net margin: 1.0%. Market cap: $10.2B. Sector: Healthcare. Industry: Healthcare Plans. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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