Mr. Market is currently offering Eli Lilly and Company at $967.88.
The business passes 4 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — adequate but not exceptional.
At $967.88, the stock trades at a 682% premium to its Graham Number of $123.74. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: This stock is better suited for Graham's Enterprising investor — one willing to devote time and skill to security selection.
Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets human pharmaceutical products in the United States, Europe, China, Japan, and internationally. The company offers cardiometabolic health products, including Basaglar, Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, insulin lispro protamine, insulin lispro mix 75/25, Humulin, Humulin 70/30, Humulin N, Humulin R, Humulin U-500 for diabetes; Jardiance, Mounjaro, and Trulicity for type 2 diabetes; and Zepbound for obesity. It also provides oncology products, such as Cyramza for the second-line treatment of gastric cancer or gastro-esophageal junction adenocarcinoma; Erbitux for colorectal cancers and head and neck cancers; Inluriyo for breast cancer; Jaypirca for chronic lymphocytic leukemia or small lymphocytic lymphoma; Retevmo for the treatment of metastatic NSCLC; TYVYT for classic hodgkin's lymphoma; and Verzenio for breast cancer. In addition, the company offers immunology products, which include Ebglyss for severe atopic dermatitis; Olumiant for rheumatoid arthritis, atopic dermatitis, severe alopecia areata, and COVID-19; Omvoh for ulcerative colitis; and Taltz for plaque psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, and non-radiographic axial spondylarthritis. Further, it provides Emgality for migraine prevention and episodic cluster headache, as well as Kisubla for symptomatic Alzheimer's disease. The company has collaborations with Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. for the Jardiance product family; and F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd and Genentech, Inc. for lebrikizumab, as well as license agreements with Almirall, S.A. for Ebglyss; and Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd for orforglipron. Eli Lilly and Company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 83.0% ▲ | 81.3% | 79.2% | 76.8% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 45.6% ▲ | 37.8% | 30.3% | 29.0% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 31.7% ▲ | 23.5% | 15.4% | 21.9% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 22.95 ▲ | 11.71 | 5.80 | 6.57 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $112.5B | $78.7B | $64.0B | $49.5B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $42.5B ↑ | $33.6B | $25.2B | $16.2B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $20.4B ▲ | $4.4B | -$1.6B | $896M | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 2.06 | 3.18 | 4.81 | 2.60 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $6.0B ▲ | $414M | -$3.2B | $4.6B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $33.5B | $20.8B | $14.2B | $10.8B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 52.6% | 79.4% | 141.1% | 47.8% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 52.6% | 79.4% | 141.1% | 47.8% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$4.1B | -$2.5B | -$750M | -$1.5B | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $6.0B ▲ | $414M ▲ | -$3.2B ▼ | $4.6B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $33.5B | $20.8B | $14.2B | $10.8B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilly Endowment, Inc | 9.73% | 91,896,978 |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 8.68% | 81,965,974 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 7.07% | 66,792,863 |
| PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 5.43% | 51,333,220 |
| State Street Corporation | 3.74% | 35,361,916 |
| FMR, LLC | 2.72% | 25,721,670 |
| Capital Research Global Investors | 2.60% | 24,566,846 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.10% | 19,810,065 |
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $123.74. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 83.0%. Operating margin: 45.6%. Net margin: 31.7%. Market cap: $866.1B. Sector: Healthcare. Industry: Drug Manufacturers - General. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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