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Humana Inc.

NYSE · Healthcare
Humana Inc.
HUM · Healthcare Plans
$237.96
▲ 4.33 (1.85%)
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Mr. Market is currently offering Humana Inc. at $237.96.
The business passes only 3 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
Overall Grade
F
Defensive
F
Enterprising
Profitability F
Net Income Margin 0.9%
Fin. Health F
Years to Pay Off Debt 10.4 yrs
Valuation F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 1.62x
Cash Flow C
Free Cash Flow $375M
CapEx % of Net Income 46.0%
Owner Earnings $2.6B
3/6
Graham Score
Speculative
Defensive — Graham's strict criteria (P/B, P/E, dividends, stability)  ·  Enterprising — Profitability & cash flow focused, accepts higher valuations for quality
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies. Negative P/B indicates book equity has been reduced by buybacks — common in highly profitable capital-return businesses.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $28.6B
Enterprise Value $20.5B
P/E (TTM) 25.40
Dividend Yield 1.52%
Exchange NYSE
Gross Profit N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 0.9%
Sector Healthcare
Industry Healthcare Plans
Employees 67060
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Humana Inc. at $237.96.

The business passes only 3 of 6 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $237.96, the stock trades at a 32% premium to its Graham Number of $180.45. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

About Humana Inc.

Humana Inc. provides medical and specialty insurance products in the United States. It operates in two segments, Insurance and CenterWell. The Insurance segment offers individual Medicare Advantage products, including health insurance benefits, including wellness programs, chronic care management, and care coordination; individual Medicare stand-alone prescription drug products (PDP); group Medicare advantage and Medicare stand-alone PDP; Medicare supplements; specialty and ancillary insurance comprising dental, vision, life and disability; and administrative services to arrange health care services for active-duty and retired military personnel and dependents, as well as pharmacy benefit managers. Its CenterWell segment operates full-service, value-based senior focused primary care centers under the Conviva Senior Primary Care and CenterWell Senior Primary Care brands; a management services organization; CenterWell Home Health, a home health provider; and OneHome, which manages post-acute patient needs, as well as provides pharmacy and hospice solutions. The company was formerly known as Extendicare Inc. and changed its name to Humana Inc. in April 1974. Humana Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Gross Profit % N/A N/A N/A N/A
Operating Margin % N/A N/A N/A N/A
Net Income % 0.9% 1.0% 2.3% 3.0%
Diluted EPS 9.84 9.98 20.00 22.08
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Total Assets $48.9B $46.5B $47.1B $43.1B N/A
Total Debt $12.4B $11.7B $11.7B $11.1B N/A
Working Capital N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Years to Pay Debt 10.41 9.71 4.68 3.97 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Free Cash Flow $375M $2.4B $3.0B $3.5B N/A
Owner Earnings $2.6B $2.8B $4.4B $4.8B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 46.0% 47.6% 40.3% 40.5% N/A
These metrics estimate what Humana Inc. is worth based on its fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors rooted in 1930s–60s principles. EPV assumes zero growth. None are price targets — they are reference points for judging whether the current price offers a margin of safety.
Graham's Fair Value
$180.45
Margin of Safety
0%
Market Cap ÷ Company Value
1.69

P/B Ratio
1.62
Warren's Owner Earnings
$2.6B
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
3/6 — Speculative Investor
Adequate Size
$129.7B
vs > $1.5B revenue
Earnings Stability
No loss years (4 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
1.52%
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
-55.4% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
25.4x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
1.62x P/B (P/E×P/B: 41.1)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it may or may not apply to modern businesses.
✅ Adequate Size — $129.7B vs > $1.5B revenue
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
"The minimum size of an enterprise should be not less than $100 million of annual sales."
✅ Earnings Stability — No loss years (4 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
✅ Dividend Record — 1.52% vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
❌ Earnings Growth — -55.4% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $22.08 to $9.84 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
❌ Moderate P/E Ratio — 25.4x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
❌ Moderate Price-to-Book — 1.62x P/B (P/E×P/B: 41.1) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
Net Current Asset Value
N/A
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
N/A
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income 46.0% 47.6% 40.3% 40.5% N/A
Repurchase of Capital Stock -$151M -$817M -$1.6B -$2.1B N/A
Free Cash Flow $375M $2.4B $3.0B $3.5B N/A
Warren's Owner Earnings $2.6B $2.8B $4.4B $4.8B N/A
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Healthcare Plans. You can manually compare HUM against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.17%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.7%
Weak — poor returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
2.4%
Fair — average asset utilization
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$151M
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
+5.5% YoY
Debt is roughly stable
Leadership Team
James Rechtin
President, CEO & Director
Age 54
Pay: $4,888,934
0.412% of net income
Celeste Marie Mellet
Chief Financial Officer
Age 48
Pay: $8,271,538
0.696% of net income
Sanjay Shetty ,
President of CenterWell
Age 51
Pay: $2,092,624
0.176% of net income
Lisa Stoner
Vice President of Investor Relations
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Vanguard Group Inc 11.88% 14,261,860
Dodge & Cox Inc. 9.40% 11,290,435
Blackrock Inc. 8.86% 10,632,797
Capital International Investors 4.85% 5,818,008
Pzena Investment Management LLC 4.56% 5,470,982
State Street Corporation 4.55% 5,462,549
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO 3.83% 4,601,331
Massachusetts Financial Services Co. 3.75% 4,496,775
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
0.68
Low volatility — more stable than the market
Short Interest
5.1% of float
Moderate short interest
Debt-to-Equity
0.77x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
1.77x
Adequate liquidity
52-Week Price Range
Low: $163.11 Current: $237.96 High: $315.35
Currently at 49% of 52-week range

Humana Inc. (HUM) fundamental analysis — Overall grade F based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $180.45. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: N/A. Operating margin: N/A. Net margin: 0.9%. Market cap: $28.6B. Sector: Healthcare. Industry: Healthcare Plans. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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