Mr. Market is currently offering Hologic, Inc. at $76.01.
The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.
At $76.01, the stock trades at a 114% premium to its Graham Number of $35.59. Graham would consider this price speculative.
There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..
Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.
Hologic, Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and supply of diagnostics products, medical imaging systems, and surgical products for women's health through early detection and treatment worldwide. It operates through four segments: Diagnostics, Breast Health, GYN Surgical, and Skeletal Health. The company provides Aptima molecular diagnostic assays to detect the infectious microorganisms; Aptima viral load assays for Hepatitis B virus, Hepatitis C virus, human immunodeficiency virus, and human cytomegalo virus; Aptima bacterial vaginosis and candida vaginitis assays for the diagnosis of vaginitis; Aptima SARS-CoV-2 and Panther Fusion SARS-CoV-2 assays to detect SARS-CoV-2; ThinPrep System for cytology applications; and Rapid Fetal Fibronectin Test that assists physicians in assessing the risk of pre-term birth. It also offers breast cancer care solutions in the areas of radiology, breast surgery, pathology, and treatment, such as 3D digital mammography systems, image analysis software, reading workstations, minimally invasive breast biopsy guidance systems, breast biopsy site markers, localization, and specimen radiology systems; and breast conserving surgery products. In addition, the company provides MyoSure Hysteroscopic Tissue Removal System for the removal of fibroids and polyps in the uterus; NovaSure Endometrial Ablation System to treat abnormal uterine bleeding; Fluent Fluid Management System that provides liquid distention during diagnostic and operative hysteroscopic procedures; Acessa ProVu system to treat various fibroids; and CoolSeal portfolio, such as bipolar vessel sealing devices. Further, it offers Horizon DXA, a dual energy X-ray system. The company sells its products through direct sales, service forces, independent distributors, and sales representatives. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit % | 51.6% ▼ | 55.3% | 51.4% | 61.6% | N/A |
| Operating Margin % | 19.2% ▼ | 23.1% | 18.9% | 33.5% | N/A |
| Net Income % | 13.8% ▼ | 19.6% | 11.3% | 26.8% | N/A |
| Diluted EPS | 2.49 ▼ | 3.32 | 1.83 | 5.13 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Assets | $9.0B | $9.2B | $9.1B | $9.1B | N/A |
| Total Debt | $2.6B ↓ | $2.7B | $2.9B | $2.9B | N/A |
| Working Capital | $2.7B ▼ | $2.8B | $3.0B | $2.9B | N/A |
| Years to Pay Debt | 4.64 | 3.37 | 6.37 | 2.24 | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Cash Flow | $905M ▼ | $1.1B | $901M | $2.0B | N/A |
| Owner Earnings | $1.0B | $1.2B | $930M | $1.9B | N/A |
| CapEx % of Net Income | 26.9% | 17.8% | 32.9% | 9.8% | N/A |
| Metric | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure % of Net Income | 26.9% | 17.8% | 32.9% | 9.8% | N/A |
| Repurchase of Capital Stock | -$753M | -$835M | -$475M | -$542M | N/A |
| Free Cash Flow | $905M ▼ | $1.1B ▲ | $901M ▼ | $2.0B • | N/A • |
| Warren's Owner Earnings | $1.0B | $1.2B | $930M | $1.9B | N/A |
| Institution | % Owned | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 11.69% | 26,089,403 |
| Blackrock Inc. | 9.90% | 22,098,417 |
| State Street Corporation | 4.42% | 9,875,663 |
| Manufacturers Life Insurance Co. | 4.23% | 9,441,848 |
| HBK Investments L P | 3.76% | 8,400,000 |
| T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. | 2.66% | 5,932,301 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 2.65% | 5,919,013 |
| Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2.51% | 5,609,912 |
Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $35.59. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 51.6%. Operating margin: 19.2%. Net margin: 13.8%. Market cap: $17.0B. Sector: Healthcare. Industry: Medical Instruments & Supplies. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.
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