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Cisco Systems, Inc.

Data period: Annual Quarterly
NASDAQ · Technology
Cisco Systems, Inc.
CSCO · Communication Equipment
$119.54
▲ 2.21 (1.88%)
Cached · 10 min
Overall Grade
C
Defensive
B
Enterprising
Profitability
A
Gross Profit Margin 64.9%
Operating Margin 22.1%
Net Income Margin 18.0%
Fin. Health
D
Years to Pay Off Debt 2.8 yrs
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt -$22.9B
Working Capital -$78M
Valuation
F
Margin of Safety 0.0%
Price-to-Book 10.06x
Cash Flow
A
Free Cash Flow $13.3B
CapEx % of Net Income 8.9%
Owner Earnings $13.9B
About Cisco Systems, Inc.
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies that help to power, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company offers data center switching; network security, identity and access management, and secure access service edge; threat intelligence, detection, and response solutions; interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks; WEBEX suite, collaboration devices, and contact center; communication platform as a service software, including perpetual licenses, subscription arrangements, and hardware solutions; network assurance, monitoring and analytics, and observability suite; issue resolution, software support, and hardware replacement; professional services, such as planning, design, implementation, and high-value consulting; service and support packages, financing, and managed network services; and regional, national, and international wireline carriers, webscale products, internet, and cable. It also delivers connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks; wireless products, including indoor and outdoor wireless coverage designed for seamless roaming use of voice, video, and data applications; end-to-end collaboration solutions through cloud, on-premise, or within hybrid cloud environments, transition collaboration solutions from on-premise to the cloud; and network assurance, monitoring and analytics, and observability suite. In addition, it offers technical support and advisory services. The company serves businesses, public institutions, governments, and service providers. It sells its products and services directly, through systems integrators, service providers, resellers, and distributors. Cisco Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Metric Explanations
What each dimension measures and where the thresholds come from.
Gross Profit Margin
Revenue minus cost of goods sold. Graham's ≥40% threshold identifies businesses with durable pricing power. Note: software and financial companies naturally exceed this; retailers and manufacturers rarely reach it due to their cost structures.
Operating Margin
Profit after operating costs before interest and taxes. A consistent ≥15% operating margin signals a business with real competitive advantages. Capital-intensive industries (airlines, auto, commodities) rarely hit this threshold due to their structural cost base — compare within industry for context.
Net Income Margin
Bottom-line profit as a percentage of revenue. The ≥20% target reflects Buffett's preference for highly profitable businesses. Financial engineering (buybacks, tax optimisation) can inflate this temporarily — look for consistency across multiple years rather than a single strong result.
Years to Pay Off Debt
Total Debt ÷ Net Income. Lower = stronger balance sheet. Important caveat: utilities, telecoms, REITs, and infrastructure companies carry large structural debt by design — their bond-like cash flows service it comfortably at ratios that would alarm Graham. Compare within sector.
Working Capital vs Long-Term Debt
Working Capital minus Long-Term Debt. Negative results are common and expected in capital-return-focused businesses like Apple, Domino's, and McDonald's — where aggressive buybacks and dividends intentionally reduce book equity. This does not indicate financial distress in high-FCF businesses.
Working Capital
Current Assets minus Current Liabilities. Negative working capital can be a deliberate efficiency strategy in businesses that collect cash before paying suppliers (retailers, fast food franchises, subscription businesses). Assess alongside free cash flow generation for full context.
Margin of Safety
How far below the Graham Number the stock trades. Graham required a 33% discount as a buffer against analytical error. However, the Graham Number itself assumes 1960s-era P/E and P/B norms — for modern asset-light businesses it often understates true intrinsic value, making 0% MoS appear misleadingly bad.
Price-to-Book
Market price vs book value per share. Rarely below 1.5x for quality businesses today. Intangible assets (brand, software, patents) don't appear on the balance sheet under accounting rules, making P/B artificially high for asset-light companies like software and consumer brands.
Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. Buffett's most important metric — cash a business actually generates for its owners after maintaining and growing its asset base. Consistently positive FCF is one of the strongest indicators of a durable, well-run business regardless of accounting profits.
CapEx % of Net Income
Capital expenditure as a share of net income. Low CapEx signals a capital-light business that doesn't need heavy reinvestment to sustain earnings — Buffett's ideal. High CapEx is structurally necessary in manufacturing, airlines, telecoms, and semiconductors. For these industries, a high reading reflects the business model, not poor management.
Owner Earnings
Net Income + Depreciation & Amortisation − Capital Expenditures. Buffett's preferred measure of a company's true annual earning power — what could theoretically be distributed to owners without impairing the business. More reliable than reported EPS because it accounts for the capital cost of maintaining the business.
Market Cap $471.2B
Enterprise Value $487.6B
P/E (TTM) 39.85
Dividend Yield 1.41%
Exchange NASDAQ
Gross Profit 64.9%
Operating Margin 22.1%
Net Margin 18.0%
Sector Technology
Industry Communication Equipment
Employees 86200
Country United States
📖
Full Graham Analysis

Mr. Market is currently offering Cisco Systems, Inc. at $119.54.

The business passes only 3 of 7 of Graham's defensive criteria — well below his required standard.

At $119.54, the stock trades at a 352% premium to its Graham Number of $26.42. Graham would consider this price speculative.

There is no margin of safety at the current price. Graham would advise patience and waiting for a better entry point.

Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign..

Conclusion: By Graham's standards, this stock is speculative at its current price. The intelligent investor would look elsewhere or wait.

Showing Key Metrics
Income Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022
Gross Profit % 64.9% 64.7% 62.7% 62.5%
Operating Margin % 22.1% 24.1% 27.3% 27.1%
Net Income % 18.0% 19.2% 22.1% 22.9%
Diluted EPS 2.61 2.54 3.07 2.82
Balance Sheet Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Total Assets $122.3B $124.4B $101.9B $94.0B N/A
Total Debt $28.1B $31.0B $8.4B $9.5B N/A
Working Capital -$78M -$3.7B $12.0B $11.1B N/A
Years to Pay Debt 2.76 3.00 0.67 0.81 N/A
Cash Flow Highlights
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Free Cash Flow $13.3B $10.2B $19.0B $12.7B N/A
Owner Earnings $13.9B $13.5B $15.2B $14.2B N/A
CapEx % of Net Income 8.9% 6.5% 6.7% 4.0% N/A
3/7
Graham Score
Speculative Investor
Fails most of Graham's safety criteria. Treat with caution.
Graham's Fair Value
$26.42
Margin of Safety
0%
Market Cap / Net Assets
10.1x
Net Assets: $46.8B
Warren's Owner Earnings
$13.9B
Latest fiscal year
Graham's 7 Criteria
Defensive Investor Checklist
3/7 — Speculative Investor
Adequate Size
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
$56.7B
vs > $1.5B revenue
Strong Financial Condition
Current assets must be at least twice current liabilities. Note: highly profitable companies (Apple, Domino's) often run negative or low working capital deliberately — they collect cash fast and stretch payables. A failing score here is not always a warning sign.
1.00x
vs Current Ratio > 2.0x
Earnings Stability
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
No loss years (4 yrs data)
vs No negative EPS years
Dividend Record
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
1.41%
vs Uninterrupted dividends
Earnings Growth
EPS grew from $2.82 to $2.61 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
-7.4% EPS growth
vs > 33% EPS growth
Moderate P/E Ratio
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
39.8x
vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Moderate Price-to-Book
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
10.06x P/B (P/E×P/B: 400.8)
vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 7 Criteria — Explained
What each criterion measures and why it matters.
✅ Adequate Size — $56.7B vs > $1.5B revenue
Graham required companies large enough to withstand economic downturns. This threshold ($1.5B) is inflation-adjusted from Graham's original $100M — virtually all S&P 500 companies pass this today.
"The minimum size of an enterprise should be not less than $100 million of annual sales."
❌ Strong Financial Condition — 1.00x vs Current Ratio > 2.0x
Current assets must be at least twice current liabilities. Note: highly profitable companies (Apple, Domino's) often run negative or low working capital deliberately — they collect cash fast and stretch payables. A failing score here is not always a warning sign.
"For industrial companies, current assets should be at least twice current liabilities."
✅ Earnings Stability — No loss years (4 yrs data) vs No negative EPS years
Graham required uninterrupted positive earnings. Any loss year is a red flag for defensive investors. Growth companies and cyclicals may show occasional losses during investment cycles or downturns without being fundamentally unsound.
"The company should have shown no deficit in the past ten years."
✅ Dividend Record — 1.41% vs Uninterrupted dividends
Graham valued dividends as evidence of financial discipline and shareholder alignment. Many excellent modern businesses (Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway) pay no dividend, preferring to reinvest cash at high rates of return. Failing this criterion does not indicate a poor business — it may indicate a high-growth one.
"Some current dividend payments — for at least the past 20 years."
❌ Earnings Growth — -7.4% EPS growth vs > 33% EPS growth
EPS grew from $2.82 to $2.61 over 3 years. Graham's 33% threshold was set over a 10-year period. Measured over fewer years (as here), the bar is proportionally lower. Share buybacks can also inflate EPS growth without reflecting underlying business improvement.
"A minimum increase of at least one-third in per-share earnings over ten years."
❌ Moderate P/E Ratio — 39.8x vs P/E ≤ 15.0x
Graham's 15x P/E threshold was calibrated to 1960s market averages when interest rates were higher. Today's lower rate environment structurally supports higher multiples — the S&P 500 long-run average P/E is now closer to 20–25x. A stock trading at 20x is not automatically speculative in the modern context.
"The price-earnings ratio should be no more than 15 times average earnings."
❌ Moderate Price-to-Book — 10.06x P/B (P/E×P/B: 400.8) vs P/B ≤ 1.5x | P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5
Graham's 1.5x P/B threshold made sense when most company value was tangible. Today, intangible assets — brand, software, patents, network effects — rarely appear on the balance sheet. A high P/B in tech, pharma, or consumer brands often reflects intangible value, not overvaluation. P/FCF or EV/EBITDA are more reliable for asset-light businesses.
"The price should not be more than 1½ times book value. P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5."
These metrics estimate what Cisco Systems, Inc. is worth based on fundamentals — independent of what the market prices it at. Graham's Fair Value and NCAV are conservative floors. EPV assumes zero growth. These are reference points, not price targets.
Net Current Asset Value
$-10.27
Negative NCAV — liabilities exceed current assets. Common in capital-return businesses (buybacks, debt-funded dividends) and capital-intensive industries. Not automatically a warning sign.
"Buy at two-thirds of net current assets." — Graham
Earnings Power Value
$35.25
Per share, no-growth floor. Compare to current price.
ROIC — Return on Invested Capital
11.3%
Return on Invested Capital — Buffett's preferred measure for asset-light businesses. ROIC > 15% consistently signals a durable competitive advantage (moat). More meaningful than P/B for software, pharma, and consumer brand companies where most value is intangible and off-balance-sheet.
Cash Flow Analysis
Metric 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Capital Expenditure % of Net Income 8.9% 6.5% 6.7% 4.0% N/A
Repurchase of Capital Stock -$7.2B -$6.8B -$4.9B -$8.4B N/A
Free Cash Flow $13.3B $10.2B $19.0B $12.7B N/A
Warren's Owner Earnings $13.9B $13.5B $15.2B $14.2B N/A
Peers & Industry
No auto-detected peers for Communication Equipment. You can manually compare CSCO against any stock using the Compare tool.
"The management of a business is its most important single factor — more important than market position, patents, or financial structure."
— Benjamin Graham
Capital Allocation & Alignment
Insider Ownership
0.06%
Low — management has little skin in the game
Return on Equity (ROE)
21.7%
Excellent — management generates strong returns on equity
Return on Assets (ROA)
8.3%
Strong — management uses assets efficiently
Share Buybacks (Latest Year)
$7.2B
Management is returning capital to shareholders via buybacks
Debt Trend YoY
-9.3% YoY
Debt is declining — management is deleveraging
Leadership Team
Charles Robbins
Chairman & CEO
Age 59
Pay: $6,968,061
0.068% of net income
Jeetendra Patel
President & Chief Product Officer
Age 53
Pay: $2,945,368
0.029% of net income
Thimaya Subaiya
Executive Vice President of Operations
Age 46
Pay: $2,626,614
0.026% of net income
Mark Patterson
Executive VP & CFO
Age 55
Andrew Ashton
Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance
Top Institutional Holders
Institution % Owned Shares
Blackrock Inc. 9.26% 365,059,875
Vanguard Capital Management LLC 6.19% 243,780,205
State Street Corporation 4.91% 193,593,697
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 2.99% 117,849,671
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.59% 102,134,942
Morgan Stanley 1.97% 77,731,032
FMR, LLC 1.71% 67,385,563
Capital Research Global Investors 1.62% 63,949,104
⚠️ Current ratio below 1 — liquidity risk
Risk Analysis
Beta (Market Risk)
1.00
Moderate volatility — moves slightly more than market
Short Interest
1.6% of float
Low short interest — market is not heavily bearish
Debt-to-Equity
0.68x
Conservative balance sheet — low financial risk
Current Ratio
0.93x
Weak liquidity — current liabilities exceed current assets
52-Week Price Range
Low: $65.72 Current: $119.54 High: $130.37
Currently at 83% of 52-week range

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) fundamental analysis — Overall grade C based on profitability, financial health, valuation and cash flow. Graham's Fair Value: $26.42. Margin of safety: 0%. Gross profit margin: 64.9%. Operating margin: 22.1%. Net margin: 18.0%. Market cap: $471.2B. Sector: Technology. Industry: Communication Equipment. Analysis powered by 360investing — free fundamental stock analysis based on Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett principles.

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